Result
2:0
04/04/2026 at 10:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Premier Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Extra 3 |
 Romania | Prima Sport 4 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 70% | 61% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 70% (26/37) | 70% (19/27) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 18% (3/17) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 2/2 | 4/8 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 41% (11/27) | 30% (11/37) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 31% (5/16) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/8 | 0/2 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 50% (2/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (37/53) | 50% (22/44) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (22/44) | 30% (16/53) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (59/97) | 39% (38/97) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 43% (3/7) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 0% (0/8) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 20% (3/15) |
Chances of winning
Rafael Jodar
64.4% | Camilo Ugo Carabelli
35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Rafael Jodar - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.59) |
|
2.66 ↑
(2.34) |
5%
(5.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Rafael Jodar - Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Jodar will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Jodar is ranked ATP: 89. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 67.
- Jodar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ugo Carabelli is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Jodar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Jodar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Rafael Jodar won against Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
Rafael Jodar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Camilo Ugo Carabelli won against Rafael Jodar?
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rafael Jodar - Camilo Ugo Carabelli were as follows:
Latest results of Rafael Jodar
Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Darderi L. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bellucci M. | Bennani R. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Bennani K. (WC) | Halys Q. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | De Jong J. | Hanfmann Y. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Moutet C. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Vukic A. | Baadi T. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Rocha H. (Q) | Trungelliti M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Cerundolo J. M. | Majchrzak K. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Kopriva V. (6) | Medjedovic H. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Cina F. (NG) | Muller A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Jodar R. | Lajovic D. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Machac T. (4) | |
| 13 | Buse I. (7) | Berrettini M. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Skatov T. (Q) | Ugo Carabelli C. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | van Assche L. | Gaston H. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Griekspoor T. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Darderi L. (1) | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bennani K. | Hanfmann Y. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Moutet C. (3) | Baadi T. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Trungelliti M. | Majchrzak K. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Kopriva V. (6) | Muller A. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Jodar R. | Machac T. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Buse I. (7) | Ugo Carabelli C. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | van Assche L. | Griekspoor T. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Darderi L. (WO.) (1) | Hanfmann Y. (8) | |
| 2 | Moutet C. (3) | Trungelliti M. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Muller A. (RET.) | Jodar R. | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Ugo Carabelli C. | van Assche L. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Darderi L. (1) | Trungelliti M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Jodar R. | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Trungelliti M. | Jodar R. | 0 : 2 |
