Pavel Kotov vs Keegan Smith – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/04/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning, hard - 1/16-finals

Chances of winning


Pavel Kotov
67%
Keegan Smith
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Pavel Kotov - Keegan Smith Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.41)

    2.8
    (2.69)
    8.2%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Kotov is ranked ATP: 298. Smith is ranked ATP: 301.
    • Kotov is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Smith's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Kotov is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Kotov will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kotov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Pavel Kotov
    Latest results of Keegan Smith