Marco Trungelliti vs Rafael Jodar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
05/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Premier Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
25
Double Faults
41
1st serve percentage
62%55%
1st serve points won
65% (24/37)86% (18/21)
2nd serve points won
30% (7/23)88% (15/17)
Break Points Saved
5/91/1
1st return points won
14% (3/21)35% (13/37)
2nd return points won
12% (2/17)70% (16/23)
Break Points Converted
0/14/9
Winners
521
Unforced errors
1714
Net points won
100% (4/4)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
52% (31/60)87% (33/38)
Return Points Won
13% (5/38)48% (29/60)
Total Points Won
37% (36/98)63% (62/98)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
56% (5/9)100% (8/8)
Return games won
0% (0/8)44% (4/9)
Total games won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Marco Trungelliti
27.5%
Rafael Jodar
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5% 69.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Marco Trungelliti - Rafael Jodar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (2.99)

    1.32
    (1.39)
    4.7%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Marco Trungelliti - Rafael Jodar?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Jodar will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Trungelliti: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 1 - 50%). Jodar (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 117. Jodar is ranked ATP: 89.
    • Trungelliti has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Jodar has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Jodar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Jodar is the team to beat.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Marco Trungelliti
    Latest results of Rafael Jodar
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bye
    2Bellucci M.Bennani R. (WC)2 : 1
    3Bennani K. (WC)Halys Q.2 : 1
    4De Jong J.Hanfmann Y. (8)0 : 2
    5Moutet C. (3)Bye
    6Vukic A.Baadi T. (WC)1 : 2
    7Rocha H. (Q)Trungelliti M. (Q)0 : 2
    8Cerundolo J. M.Majchrzak K. (5)1 : 2
    9Kopriva V. (6)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    10Cina F. (NG)Muller A.0 : 2
    11Jodar R.Lajovic D. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByeMachac T. (4)
    13Buse I. (7)Berrettini M.2 : 1
    14Skatov T. (Q)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    15van Assche L.Gaston H.2 : 0
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bellucci M.2 : 0
    2Bennani K.Hanfmann Y. (8)1 : 2
    3Moutet C. (3)Baadi T.2 : 0
    4Trungelliti M.Majchrzak K. (5)2 : 0
    5Kopriva V. (6)Muller A.0 : 2
    6Jodar R.Machac T. (4)2 : 1
    7Buse I. (7)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    8van Assche L.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Darderi L. (WO.) (1)Hanfmann Y. (8)
    2Moutet C. (3)Trungelliti M.1 : 2
    3Muller A. (RET.)Jodar R.0 : 1
    4Ugo Carabelli C.van Assche L.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    2Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0

    Final
    1Trungelliti M.Jodar R.0 : 2