Gianluca Cadenasso vs Hugo Gaston – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/04/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - 1/16-finals

Chances of winning


Gianluca Cadenasso
44.1%
Hugo Gaston
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 57.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gianluca Cadenasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Gianluca Cadenasso - Hugo Gaston Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.09)

    1.66
    (1.67)
    8%
    (7.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 227. Gaston is ranked ATP: 116.
    • Cadenasso is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Gaston has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cadenasso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Gianluca Cadenasso
    Latest results of Hugo Gaston
    06.03.2026 Hugo Gaston - Moise Kouame 2:1
    05.03.2026 Hugo Gaston - Keegan Smith 2:1
    03.03.2026 Hugo Gaston - Daniil Glinka Glinka D. retired