Serra Branca vs Sergipe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/04/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Serie D - Round 1

Match Stats


Ball possession
48%	52%
Total shots
5	6
Shots on target
0	1
Corner kicks
7	7
Total shots
5	6
Shots on target
0	1
Shots off target
5	5
Corner kicks
7	7

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Diego Ceara ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 1 - 1, Matheus Neris ⚽,

Chances of winning

Serra Branca
49.9%

Draw
29.8%

Sergipe
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

30.8%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serra Branca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Serra Branca's performance.

Sergipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sergipe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serra Branca than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Serra Branca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sergipe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Serra Branca - Sergipe Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.43)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	4.75 ↑ (2.65)	3.2% (10.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

Preview Facts

Serra Branca is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Sergipe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Serra Branca has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Serra Branca won against Sergipe?

Serra Branca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sergipe won against Serra Branca?

Sergipe has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Serra Branca - Sergipe were as follows:

Latest results of Serra Branca

07.03.2026 Botafogo PB - Serra Branca 3:1 ✺

01.03.2026 Serra Branca - Botafogo PB 1:0 ✺

22.02.2026 Botafogo PB - Serra Branca 1:1 ✺

18.02.2026 Porto SC - Serra Branca 2:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Campinense - Serra Branca 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Sergipe

14.03.2026 Sergipe - Confiança 1:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Confiança - Sergipe 1:1 ✺

01.03.2026 Sergipe - América de Propriá 2:1 ✺

26.02.2026 América de Propriá - Sergipe 1:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Lagarto - Sergipe 1:0 ✺

Brazilian Serie D Table

2026

Group 1

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Nacional-AM	4	3	0	1	8:6	2	9
2	Manauara	4	2	2	0	7:3	4	8
3	Sao Raimundo RR	4	2	2	0	4:1	3	8
4	Manaus	4	1	1	2	2:4	-2	4
5	Monte Roraima	4	0	2	2	1:4	-3	2
6	GAS	4	0	1	3	2:6	-4	1

Group 2

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guapore	4	3	1	0	6:2	4	10
2	Araguaina	4	2	2	0	6:4	2	8
3	Porto Velho	4	2	0	2	10:4	6	6
4	Galvez	4	2	0	2	4:7	-3	6
5	Independencia	4	1	1	2	5:4	1	4
6	Humaita	4	0	0	4	2:12	-10	0

Group 3

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gama	4	3	1	0	6:1	5	10
2	Luverdense	4	2	2	0	4:2	2	8
3	Aparecidense	4	2	0	2	6:5	1	6
4	Brasiliense	4	1	3	0	3:2	1	6
5	Primavera AC	4	0	2	2	3:6	-3	2
6	Inhumas	4	0	0	4	2:8	-6	0

Group 4

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Goiatuba	4	3	1	0	5:2	3	10
2	Capital	4	3	0	1	4:2	2	9
3	Mixto	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5
4	Uniao Rondonopolis	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4
5	Ceilandia	4	1	1	2	2:3	-1	4
6	Operario VG	4	0	1	3	3:6	-3	1

Group 5

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Trem	4	2	2	0	7:4	3	8
2	Aguia De Maraba	4	1	3	0	6:4	2	6
3	Imperatriz	4	1	3	0	5:3	2	6
4	Tuna Luso	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5
5	Oratorio	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3
6	Tocantinopolis	4	0	2	2	3:7	-4	2

Group 6

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Iguatu	4	3	1	0	6:2	4	10
2	Maracana	4	2	1	1	5:3	2	7
3	Moto Club	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
4	Parnahyba	4	1	1	2	2:4	-2	4
5	Sampaio Correa	3	0	2	1	0:1	-1	2
6	IAPE	4	0	2	2	4:7	-3	2

Group 7

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Fluminense-PI	4	2	2	0	7:3	4	8
2	Piaui	4	2	1	1	8:6	2	7
3	Ferroviario	4	2	1	1	6:4	2	7
4	AE Altos	4	1	1	2	2:6	-4	4
5	Atletico-CE	4	0	3	1	1:3	-2	3
6	Tirol	4	0	2	2	3:5	-2	2

Group 8

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	ABC	4	3	0	1	7:4	3	9
2	America RN	4	3	0	1	5:2	3	9
3	Central SC	4	2	1	1	5:3	2	7
4	Maguary	4	2	0	2	5:3	2	6
5	Sousa	4	1	0	3	2:5	-3	3
6	Laguna RN	4	0	1	3	1:8	-7	1

Group 9

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Treze PB	4	2	1	1	11:7	4	7
2	Sergipe	4	2	1	1	7:6	1	7
3	Serra Branca	4	1	3	0	7:4	3	6
4	Lagarto	4	1	1	2	8:10	-2	4
5	Retro	4	1	1	2	6:9	-3	4
6	Decisao	4	1	1	2	5:8	-3	4

Group 10

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Juazeirense	4	4	0	0	9:3	6	12
2	CSA	4	2	1	1	8:4	4	7
3	ASA	4	2	1	1	4:3	1	7
4	CSE	4	1	1	2	5:7	-2	4
5	Jacuipense	4	1	1	2	3:6	-3	4
6	Alagoinhas	4	0	0	4	2:8	-6	0

Group 11

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Uberlandia	4	3	0	1	6:3	3	9
2	Ivinhema	4	3	0	1	6:4	2	9
3	Betim	4	2	1	1	5:4	1	7
4	CRAC	4	1	1	2	3:3	0	4
5	Operario MS	4	0	3	1	2:4	-2	3
6	Ouvidorense	4	0	1	3	1:5	-4	1

Group 12

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tombense	4	2	1	1	4:1	3	7
2	Rio Branco ES	4	2	1	1	7:5	2	7
3	Democrata GV	4	2	1	1	3:2	1	7
4	Vitoria ES	4	2	0	2	7:4	3	6
5	Porto-BA	4	2	0	2	4:8	-4	6
6	Real Noroeste	4	0	1	3	1:6	-5	1

Group 13

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Portuguesa RJ	4	2	2	0	7:1	6	8
2	Portuguesa	4	2	2	0	6:2	4	8
3	Agua Santa	4	2	0	2	7:4	3	6
4	Madureira	4	1	1	2	5:6	-1	4
5	America RJ	4	1	1	2	4:11	-7	4
6	Pouso Alegre	4	1	0	3	2:7	-5	3

Group 14

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Piracicaba	4	2	2	0	8:4	4	8
2	Velo Clube	4	2	1	1	5:3	2	7
3	Marica	4	2	1	1	5:4	1	7
4	Sampaio Correa FE	4	2	1	1	4:4	0	7
5	Noroeste	4	0	2	2	3:5	-2	2
6	Nova Iguacu	4	0	1	3	2:7	-5	1

Group 15

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Joinville	4	3	1	0	6:2	4	10
2	Cascavel	4	2	1	1	3:1	2	7
3	Cianorte	4	2	0	2	5:4	1	6
4	Sao Luiz	4	1	2	1	5:6	-1	5
5	Santa Catarina	4	1	1	2	6:7	-1	4
6	Guarany de Bage	4	0	1	3	1:6	-5	1

Group 16

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Blumenau	4	4	0	0	8:2	6	12
2	Brasil de Pelotas	4	2	1	1	6:4	2	7
3	Sao Joseense	4	2	1	1	2:2	0	7
4	Marcilio Dias	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5
5	Azuriz	4	0	1	3	1:4	-3	1
6	EC Sao Jose	4	0	1	3	1:6	-5	1

Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)