Andrew Paulson vs Carlos Sanchez Jover – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
05/04/2026 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
57
Double Faults
41
1st serve percentage
61%78%
1st serve points won
67% (36/54)75% (46/61)
2nd serve points won
49% (17/35)41% (7/17)
Break Points Saved
4/82/4
1st return points won
25% (15/61)33% (18/54)
2nd return points won
59% (10/17)51% (18/35)
Break Points Converted
2/44/8
Winners
3823
Unforced errors
5014
Net points won
55% (12/22)100% (6/6)
Service Points Won
60% (53/89)68% (53/78)
Return Points Won
32% (25/78)40% (36/89)
Total Points Won
47% (78/167)53% (89/167)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
73% (11/15)86% (12/14)
Return games won
14% (2/14)27% (4/15)
Total games won
45% (13/29)55% (16/29)

Chances of winning


Andrew Paulson
45.5%
Carlos Sanchez Jover
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 71.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Andrew Paulson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrew Paulson's performance.
  • Carlos Sanchez Jover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlos Sanchez Jover might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrew Paulson than the current prediction. (-16.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrew Paulson that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Sanchez Jover than the current prediction. (+16.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlos Sanchez Jover could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Andrew Paulson - Carlos Sanchez Jover Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.64)

    1.71
    (1.42)
    7.2%
    (8.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Paulson is ranked ATP: 642. Sanchez Jover is ranked ATP: 347.
    • Recent performances by Paulson have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sanchez Jover is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Paulson may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Sanchez Jover might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Andrew Paulson