Result
2:1
05/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 22 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 51% | 42% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 84% (36/43) | 68% (30/44) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 45% (19/42) | 43% (26/60) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 5/9 | 6/11 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 32% (14/44) | 16% (7/43) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 57% (34/60) | 55% (23/42) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 5/11 | 4/9 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 42 | 23 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 43 | 55 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 70% (7/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (55/85) | 54% (56/104) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (48/104) | 35% (30/85) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (103/189) | 46% (86/189) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 64% (9/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 27% (4/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 55% (16/29) | 45% (13/29) |
Chances of winning
Alafia Ayeni
57% | Samuel Heredia
43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alafia Ayeni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Samuel Heredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alafia Ayeni than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuel Heredia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Alafia Ayeni - Samuel Heredia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.55) |
|
2.17 ↓
(2.36) |
7.3%
(6.8%) | |
Preview Facts
- Ayeni is ranked ATP: 499. Heredia is ranked ATP: 728.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Heredia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Alafia Ayeni won against Samuel Heredia?
Alafia Ayeni has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samuel Heredia won against Alafia Ayeni?
Samuel Heredia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alafia Ayeni - Samuel Heredia were as follows:
Latest results of Alafia Ayeni
Latest results of Samuel Heredia
