Quinn Vandecasteele vs Ivan Marrero Curbelo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
05/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
52
Double Faults
1010
1st serve percentage
53%57%
1st serve points won
68% (47/69)71% (48/68)
2nd serve points won
38% (23/61)42% (22/52)
Break Points Saved
9/175/11
1st return points won
35% (24/68)35% (24/69)
2nd return points won
58% (30/52)62% (38/61)
Break Points Converted
6/118/17
Winners
2915
Unforced errors
8464
Net points won
73% (8/11)55% (6/11)
Service Points Won
53% (68/129)55% (66/119)
Return Points Won
45% (53/119)47% (61/129)
Total Points Won
49% (121/248)51% (127/248)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
20
Service games won
53% (9/17)65% (11/17)
Return games won
35% (6/17)47% (8/17)
Total games won
44% (15/34)56% (19/34)

Chances of winning


Quinn Vandecasteele
46.9%
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 49.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Quinn Vandecasteele has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Ivan Marrero Curbelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quinn Vandecasteele than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ivan Marrero Curbelo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Quinn Vandecasteele - Ivan Marrero Curbelo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.95)

    1.76
    (1.76)
    7.3%
    (8.4%)
    What is the prediction for Quinn Vandecasteele - Ivan Marrero Curbelo?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vandecasteele will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Marrero Curbelo will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Vandecasteele is ranked ATP: 461. Marrero Curbelo is ranked ATP: 540.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • Vandecasteele may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Quinn Vandecasteele