Nicolas Jarry vs Miguel Damas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/04/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Chances of winning


Nicolas Jarry
65.4%
Miguel Damas
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.7% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Jarry's performance.
  • Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miguel Damas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Nicolas Jarry - Miguel Damas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.54)

    2.69
    (2.28)
    7.1%
    (8.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Jarry is ranked ATP: 154. Damas is ranked ATP: 274.
    • Jarry has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Damas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Damas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Jarry could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Nicolas Jarry
    Latest results of Miguel Damas