Result
2:1
07/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 2.03 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (270/375) | 73% (251/346) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 2.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (270/375) | 73% (251/346) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (35/77) | 36% (20/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (73/129) | 55% (46/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 25 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 78% (18/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 2.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Garzha A. ⚽, Ndjiki R. (A),
- 37', Aditajs R. 🟨,
- 39', Ouled-Haj-M'hand Z. 🟨,
- 40', Ziemelis R. 🟨,
- 44', 2 - 0, Ndjiki R. ⚽, Mihalcovs G. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Aditajs R. ↓, Marusii M. ↑,
- 46', Mickevics T. ↓, Marusiy T. ↑,
- 52', Kalnins M. 🟨,
- 55', Ouled-Haj-M'hand Z. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 57', 2 - 1, Cudars K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 63', Machado F. ↓, Johnson K. ↑,
- 66', Mashchenko V. ↓, Kumakura K. ↑,
- 68', Marusiy T. 🟨,
- 73', Lormanis M. ↓, Silagailis H. ↑,
- 76', Evelons E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
BFC Daugavpils
60.6% | Draw
22.7% | Ogre United
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in BFC Daugavpils's performance.Ogre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ogre United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (-20.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BFC Daugavpils that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ogre United than the current prediction. (+14.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ogre United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
BFC Daugavpils - Ogre United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(2) |
4.06 ↑
(3.55) |
5.5 ↑
(3.4) |
8.6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils - Ogre United?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Daugavpils (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
BFC Daugavpils will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga).
- Daugavpils is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ogre United is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Daugavpils will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Ogre United?
BFC Daugavpils has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ogre United won against BFC Daugavpils?
Ogre United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between BFC Daugavpils - Ogre United were as follows:
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latest results of Ogre United
Latvian Virsliga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Auda | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | RFS | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:2 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Riga FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 10 |
| 4 | Super Nova | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Grobina | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | BFC Daugavpils | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | FK Liepaja | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | Jelgava | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
