Independiente 2 vs Atlético de Rafaela 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
07/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Reserve League - Apertura - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaLPF Play, TNT Sports

Match Stats

Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
114
Corner kicks
72
Total shots
177
Shots on target
114
Shots off target
63
Corner kicks
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, ,
  • 26', 0 - 2, ,
  • 36', (Penalty Awarded),
  • 42', 1 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 70', 2 - 2, ,
  • 71', 3 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Independiente 2
51.3%
Draw
27.1%
Atlético de Rafaela 2
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.7% 24.9% 15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 24.3% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente 2's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético de Rafaela 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético de Rafaela 2's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela 2 than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético de Rafaela 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Independiente 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.54)
    3.36
    (3.69)
    4.23
    (5.96)
    9.8%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14).
    • In recent matches, Independiente 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atl de Rafaela 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Independiente 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Independiente 2
    Argentinian Reserve League Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield 21081123:61725
    2Rosario Central 21053217:12518
    3Racing Club 21053216:11518
    4Talleres Cordoba 21044211:9216
    5Instituto 21036113:10315
    6Atl. Tucuman 21043312:11115
    7Gimnasia L.P. 21042413:10314
    8River Plate 21042412:10214
    9Argentinos Jrs 2103529:8114
    10Union de Santa Fe 21035213:13014
    11San Lorenzo 2104249:12-314
    12Sarmiento Junin 2103348:10-212
    13Banfield 2103347:9-212
    14Barracas Central 2103256:13-711
    15Tigre 2102357:10-39
    16Gimnasia Mendoza 2102356:13-79
    17Godoy Cruz 21022610:17-78
    18Aldosivi 2102179:19-107


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors 21072121:61523
    2Quilmes 21063110:3721
    3Defensa y Justicia 21062223:101320
    4Lanus 21062217:11620
    5Independiente 21052320:12817
    6Newells Old Boys 21052312:11117
    7Deportivo Riestra 21051417:9816
    8Huracan 21043316:10615
    9Platense 21043310:11-115
    10Estudiantes L.P. 2103347:6112
    11Ind. Rivadavia 21033411:11012
    12Ferro 21032510:14-411
    13Belgrano 21032513:20-711
    14Central Cordoba 21024411:20-910
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2101547:15-88
    16Atl. Rafaela 21021713:17-47
    17Colon Santa Fe 2102177:13-67
    18San Martin S.J. 2102089:33-246

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