Result
1:0 penalties
23/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Qatar Cup - Semi-finals
- Referee: Al Sharif M. (Sau)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA |
 Qatar | Al Kass One, Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (494/564) | 85% (403/474) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 100% (1/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (494/564) | 85% (403/474) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (21/43) | 51% (40/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (115/155) | 56% (44/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/22) | 6% (1/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 52% (11/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 53 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 18 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Ali A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Boudiaf K. 🟨,
- 62', Bamba I. 🟨,
- 71', Olunga M. ↓, Edmilson Junior ↑,
- 71', Ziyech H. ↓, Mohammed I. ↑,
- 74', Traore D. ↓, Nani M. ↑,
- 78', Sano S. 🟨,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 91', Bamba I. ↓, Al Rawi B. ↑,
- 100', Surag A. 🟨,
- 101', Rodrigo ↓, Fadlalla S. ↑,
- 105', Joselu 🟨,
- 115', Al Ganehi A. ↓, Boussafi R. ↑,
- 120+2', Luis Alberto ↓, Al Brake S. ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 3)
- 1, Ali A. (Pen),
- 1, Joselu (Pen),
- 2, Edmilson Junior (Pen),
- 2, Diaz F. (Pen),
- 3, Bourigeaud B. (Pen),
- 3, Sassi F. (Pen),
- 4, Al Rawi B. (Pen),
- 4, Boussafi R. (Pen),
- 5, Al Brake S. (Pen),
- 5, Brahimi Y. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Al Duhail
47.9% | Draw
24% | Al-Gharafa
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Duhail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Duhail's form might have worsened.Al-Gharafa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Gharafa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Duhail than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Duhail, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Gharafa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al Duhail - Al-Gharafa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.7) |
3.81 ↓
(3.91) |
3.26 ↓
(4.06) |
9.3%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al Duhail - Al-Gharafa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al Duhail (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Al Duhail won 2.
- Al Duhail is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Al-Gharafa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Al Duhail is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Al Duhail to win the game is with odds 1.75.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Al Duhail won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 35:25 (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Al Duhail won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:14 (average 1.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Duhail won against Al-Gharafa?
Al Duhail has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Al Duhail?
Al-Gharafa has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Duhail - Al-Gharafa were as follows:
29.03.2025
Al-Gharafa
-
Al Duhail
0:2
27.10.2024
Al Duhail
-
Al-Gharafa
1:1
01.03.2024
Al Duhail
-
Al-Gharafa
1:4
14.10.2023
Al-Gharafa
-
Al Duhail
0:2
24.09.2023
Al-Gharafa
-
Al Duhail
3:2
Latest results of Al Duhail
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
Draw
2025Semi-finals| 1 | Al-Sadd | Al Ahli Doha | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Al-Duhail | Al-Gharafa | 1 : 0 |
Final
