Result
0:1
20/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, ViX Gratis, VIX+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Bracamonte F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 62', Flores K. ↓, Fernandez K. ↑,
- 62', Huerta A. 🟨,
- 64', Mendez A. ↓, Barnett J. ↑,
- 70', Huerta R. F. T. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 70', Munoz S. ↓, Nalukenge J. ↑,
- 78', 🟨,
- 78', Bracamonte F. 🟥,
- 90+3', Acosta M. ↓, Ramos M. ↑,
- 90+3', Acosta M. 🟨,
- 90+8', Amaro J. 🟨,
- 90+8', 0 - 1, Ceren B. ⚽,
- 90+15', Barnett J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Necaxa
13.1% | Draw
23.5% | Atlas
63.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Necaxa - Atlas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.08 ↓
(9.17) |
3.93 ↓
(3.97) |
1.46 ↑
(1.37) |
8.2%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 0.
- Necaxa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Atlas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Necaxa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Necaxa has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Atlas is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 8:41. (average 0.5:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 1:17. (average 0.1:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Atlas?
Necaxa has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Necaxa?
Atlas has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Atlas were as follows:
11.02.2025
Atlas
-
Necaxa
4:1
26.08.2024
Necaxa
-
Atlas
0:1
25.01.2024
Atlas
-
Necaxa
3:2
15.10.2023
Necaxa
-
Atlas
0:1
20.01.2023
Atlas
-
Necaxa
4:1
Mexican Liga MX Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigres UANL W ✔ | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 53:8 | 45 | 38 |
| 2 | Pachuca W ✔ | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 52:18 | 34 | 36 |
| 3 | Club America W ✔ | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 48:19 | 29 | 32 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Toluca W | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 28:15 | 13 | 28 |
| 6 | Monterrey W | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 26 |
| 7 | Club Leon W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 29:30 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas W | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 30:24 | 6 | 22 |
| 9 | Cruz Azul W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32:23 | 9 | 21 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 21 |
| 11 | Juarez W | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Atlas W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 19 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana W | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:26 | -10 | 12 |
| 14 | Queretaro W | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13:42 | -29 | 10 |
| 15 | Santos Laguna W | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15:32 | -17 | 9 |
| 16 | Necaxa W | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8:32 | -24 | 8 |
| 17 | Puebla W | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5:36 | -31 | 5 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC W | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7:48 | -41 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tigres UANL W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Pachuca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
