Daniil Ostapenkov vs Ilia Simakin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
08/04/2026 at 00:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
55
Double Faults
01
1st serve percentage
66%59%
1st serve points won
60% (24/40)81% (21/26)
2nd serve points won
52% (11/21)83% (15/18)
Break Points Saved
0/30/0
1st return points won
23% (6/26)43% (17/40)
2nd return points won
17% (3/18)48% (10/21)
Break Points Converted
0/03/3
Winners
914
Unforced errors
2418
Net points won
43% (3/7)100% (3/3)
Service Points Won
57% (34/60)82% (36/44)
Return Points Won
18% (8/44)43% (26/60)
Total Points Won
40% (42/104)60% (62/104)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
67% (6/9)100% (9/9)
Return games won
0% (0/9)33% (3/9)
Total games won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Daniil Ostapenkov
26.2%
Ilia Simakin
73.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3% 64.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniil Ostapenkov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniil Ostapenkov's form might have worsened.
  • Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilia Simakin's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Ostapenkov than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniil Ostapenkov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilia Simakin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Daniil Ostapenkov - Ilia Simakin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.58
    (2.82)

    1.27
    (1.38)
    6.8%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ostapenkov is ranked ATP: 732. Simakin is ranked ATP: 221.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ostapenkov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Simakin is the team to beat.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Daniil Ostapenkov
    Latest results of Ilia Simakin