Setúbal vs Moncarapachense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group Setúbal - Moncarapachense
Result
1:0
25/05/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 5

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Setúbal
57%
Draw
25%
Moncarapachense
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 24.2% 13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67% 22.6% 12.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Setúbal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Setúbal's form might have worsened.
  • Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Setúbal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moncarapachense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Setúbal - Moncarapachense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.45)
    3.66
    (3.75)
    5.09
    (6.79)
    9.2%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 3.
    • Setúbal is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Moncarapachense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Setúbal is certain favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Setúbal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Setúbal - Moncarapachense were as follows:
    28.04.2024 Moncarapachense - Setúbal 1:2
    21.01.2024 Moncarapachense - Setúbal 0:1
    03.09.2023 Setúbal - Moncarapachense 1:2
    28.01.2023 Setúbal - Moncarapachense 2:3
    08.10.2022 Moncarapachense - Setúbal 1:2
    Latest results of Setúbal
    05.05.2024 Setúbal - SC Lusitânia 3:1
    28.04.2024 Moncarapachense - Setúbal 1:2
    07.04.2024 Elvas - Setúbal 2:1
    Latest results of Moncarapachense
    Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group Table
    2024/25

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Guimaraes B632114:11311
    2Paredes623110:739
    3AD Marco 0961326:7-16
    4Leca620410:15-56


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lusitano GC660015:41118
    2Amora62227:708
    3O Elvas CAD61236:11-55
    4Fatima61055:11-63

          Promotion ~ Liga 3