Peñarol de Montevideo vs Platense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
48.3%
Draw
30.6%
Platense
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 25.6% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 24.4% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peñarol de Montevideo's form might have worsened.
  • Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peñarol de Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Platense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.66)
    3.04
    (3.62)
    4.55
    (5.05)
    6.2%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Peñarol have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Platense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Peñarol is considered a favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Platense
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P21103:214
    2Flamengo RJ11002:023
    3Ind. Medellin10101:101
    4Cusco20021:4-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional21104:224
    2Coquimbo21103:124
    3Deportes Tolima20111:3-21
    4U. de Deportes20110:2-21


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia22003:126
    2La Guaira20201:102
    3Fluminense20111:2-11
    4Bolivar20111:2-11


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors22005:146
    2U. Catolica21013:303
    3Cruzeiro21012:203
    4Barcelona SC20020:4-40


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians22004:046
    2Penarol10101:101
    3Santa Fe20111:3-21
    4Platense10010:2-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11001:013
    2Cerro Porteno21011:103
    3Palmeiras10101:101
    4Junior20111:2-11


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito22003:036
    2Mirassol21011:2-13
    3Lanus10010:1-10
    4Always Ready10010:1-10


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central21101:014
    2Universidad Central11003:123
    3Ind. del Valle10100:001
    4Libertad Asuncion20021:4-30

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)