Result
1:2
10/04/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 67% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 68% (43/63) | 73% (51/70) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 56% (19/34) | 54% (19/35) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 3/7 | 1/3 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 27% (19/70) | 32% (20/63) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 46% (16/35) | 44% (15/34) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 2/3 | 4/7 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 30 | 25 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 47 | 36 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 85% (17/20) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (62/97) | 66% (69/104) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (35/104) | 36% (35/97) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (97/201) | 52% (104/201) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 88% (15/17) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 25% (4/16) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 42% (14/33) | 58% (19/33) |
Chances of winning
Joao Fonseca
39.2% | Alexander Zverev
60.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Joao Fonseca - Alexander Zverev Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(2.4) |
|
1.59 ↑
(1.58) |
4%
(4.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Joao Fonseca - Alexander Zverev?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Zverev will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zverev: 38.6% – 78%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Fonseca (votes: 2 - 50%). Zverev (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1.5 Sets - Fonseca (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +2.5 Games - Fonseca (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +3.5 Games - Fonseca (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Fonseca (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Zverev (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Fonseca is ranked ATP: 40. Zverev is ranked ATP: 3.
- Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
- Zverev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Zverev is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Zverev will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Joao Fonseca won against Alexander Zverev?
Joao Fonseca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexander Zverev won against Joao Fonseca?
Alexander Zverev has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Joao Fonseca - Alexander Zverev were as follows:
Latest results of Joao Fonseca
Latest results of Alexander Zverev
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Baez S. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Etcheverry T. M. | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Atmane T. | Quinn E. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Lehecka J. (11) | Nava E. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Fucsovics M. | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Monfils G. (WC) | Griekspoor T. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Bublik A. (8) | |
| 9 | Musetti L. (4) | Bye | |
| 10 | Vacherot V. | Cerundolo J. M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Dzumhur D. (LL) | Marozsan F. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Hurkacz H. (PR) | Darderi L. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Cobolli F. (10) | Comesana F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Shapovalov D. | Blockx A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Norrie C. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 17 | Medvedev D. (7) | Bye | |
| 18 | Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL) | Berrettini M. (WC) | 0 : 0 |
| 19 | Fonseca J. | Diallo G. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Rinderknech A. | Khachanov K. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Rublev A. (13) | Borges N. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Bergs Z. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Garin C. (Q) | Arnaldi M. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Zverev A. (3) | |
| 25 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Bye | |
| 26 | Cilic M. | Shevchenko A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Moutet C. | Muller A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Popyrin A. | Ruud C. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Tsitsipas S. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Altmaier D. | Machac T. | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Kouame M. (WC) | Humbert U. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Sinner J. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Etcheverry T. M. | Atmane T. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Lehecka J. (11) | Tabilo A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Monfils G. | Bublik A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Musetti L. (4) | Vacherot V. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Marozsan F. | Hurkacz H. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Cobolli F. (10) | Blockx A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Norrie C. | De Minaur A. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Medvedev D. (7) | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Fonseca J. | Rinderknech A. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Rublev A. (13) | Bergs Z. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Garin C. | Zverev A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Cilic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Moutet C. | Ruud C. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Machac T. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Humbert U. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Lehecka J. (11) | Bublik A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Vacherot V. | Hurkacz H. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Blockx A. | De Minaur A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Berrettini M. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Bergs Z. | Zverev A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Ruud C. (RET.) (9) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Machac T. | Sinner J. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bublik A. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vacherot V. | De Minaur A. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Fonseca J. | Zverev A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Vacherot V. | |
| 2 | Zverev A. (3) | Sinner J. (2) | |
Final
