Darya Kasatkina vs Ann Li – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
13/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Rouen, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
213
Double Faults
81
1st serve percentage
65%67%
1st serve points won
53% (34/64)71% (48/68)
2nd serve points won
44% (15/34)35% (12/34)
Break Points Saved
2/96/10
1st return points won
31% (21/68)47% (30/64)
2nd return points won
65% (22/34)56% (19/34)
Break Points Converted
4/107/9
Service Points Won
50% (49/98)59% (60/102)
Return Points Won
41% (42/102)50% (49/98)
Total Points Won
46% (91/200)55% (109/200)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
10
Service games won
53% (8/15)73% (11/15)
Return games won
27% (4/15)47% (7/15)
Total games won
40% (12/30)60% (18/30)

Chances of winning


Darya Kasatkina
46.3%
Ann Li
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darya Kasatkina's form might have worsened.
  • Ann Li has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ann Li's recent form is better than expected.
  • Darya Kasatkina - Ann Li Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.7)

    1.77
    (2.15)
    5.5%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Darya Kasatkina - Ann Li?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Li will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kasatkina: 45%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasatkina (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 70. Li is ranked WTA: 36.
    • Li's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Kasatkina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Darya Kasatkina
    Latest results of Ann Li
    07.04.2026 Dayana Yastremska - Ann Li 2:1
    20.03.2026 Aryna Sabalenka - Ann Li 2:0
    19.03.2026 Ann Li - Kimberly Birrell 2:1
    04.03.2026 Talia Gibson - Ann Li 2:0
    26.02.2026 Ann Li - Zeynep Sonmez 1:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kostyuk M. (1)Parry D.
    2McNally C.Volynets K.
    3Rakhimova K.Kalieva E. (Q)2 : 0
    4Kasatkina D.Li A. (5)1 : 2
    5Baptiste H. (4)Ponchet J. (WC)
    6Shymanovich I. (Q)Fruhvirtova L.
    7Blinkova A.Salkova D. (LL)
    8Maria T.Jacquemot E. (9)
    9Cocciaretto E. (7)Charaeva A. (Q)
    10Stephens S. (WC)Podrez V. (Q)0 : 2
    11Timofeeva M. (LL)Boulter K.0 : 2
    12Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (WC)Cristian J. (3)
    13Tjen J. (6)Bondar A.
    14Oliynykova O.Tagger L.
    15Paquet C. (Q)Wang Xin. (Q)
    16Ferro F. (WC)Cirstea S. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2Rakhimova K.Li A. (5)
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9Podrez V.
    6Boulter K.TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2