Romania vs Australia, World Cup Water Polo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
14:16 penalties
13/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Cup - Qualification - Division 2 - 5th-8th places - 5th place

Chances of winning


Romania
55.8%
Draw
12.7%
Australia
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 13.1% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1% 14.8% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Romania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Australia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Romania than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Romania, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Australia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Romania - Australia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.68)
    7.2
    (6.95)
    2.9
    (2.77)
    9.4%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 26.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Romania have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Australia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Romania will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Romania won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:9.
    Latest results of Romania
    12.04.2026 Neutral Athletes B - Romania 12:16
    11.04.2026 Montenegro - Romania 14:8
    10.04.2026 Romania - Argentina 21:11
    09.04.2026 Romania - Malta 14:9
    08.04.2026 Romania - South Africa 5:24
    Latest results of Australia
    12.04.2026 Ukraine - Australia 15:21
    11.04.2026 Australia - Germany 11:6
    10.04.2026 Australia - Slovakia 18:9
    09.04.2026 Australia - Singapore 27:6
    08.04.2026 China - Australia 16:9
    Draw
    Qualification

    1/8-finals
    1Neutral Athletes BBrazil16 : 10
    2FrancePortugal23 : 9
    3MontenegroMalta23 : 6
    4RomaniaArgentina21 : 11
    5CanadaUkraine13 : 17
    6TurkeyGeorgia12 : 19
    7AustraliaSlovakia18 : 9
    8GermanyChina14 : 8

    Quarter-finals
    1Neutral Athletes BFrance13 : 14
    2MontenegroRomania14 : 8
    3UkraineGeorgia9 : 20
    4AustraliaGermany11 : 14

    Semi-finals
    1FranceMontenegro11 : 15
    2GeorgiaGermany19 : 13

    Final
    1MontenegroGeorgia19 : 17

    3rd place
    2FranceGermany6 : 8