DC United vs One Knoxville – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football US Open Cup
Result
3:4 penalties
15/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • US Open Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.791.95
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
2717
Shots on target
66
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
123
Passes
80% (422/530)82% (500/613)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
2.791.95
xG on target (xGOT)
2.112.81
Total shots
2717
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
147
Blocked shots
74
Shots inside the box
1511
Shots outside the box
126
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
123
Touches in opposition box
3325
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free kicks
920
Passes
80% (422/530)82% (500/613)
Long passes
39% (24/62)47% (36/77)
Passes in final third
69% (143/207)66% (98/149)
Crosses
26% (10/39)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
2.301.02
Throw ins
1919
Fouls
209
Tackles
62% (16/26)63% (15/24)
Duels won
5272
Clearances
1835
Interceptions
1215
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
2.812.11
Goals prevented
-0.19-0.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Turner G. ↓, Gabriel Pirani ↑,
  • 46', Hopkins J. ↓, Servania B. ↑,
  • 46', Kijima H. ↓, Stroud J. ↑,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Peltola M. ⚽, Servania B. (A),
  • 62', Gill R. ↓, Conway E. ↑,
  • 62', Murphy Jr. J. ↓, Cordova H. ↑,
  • 64', Markovic N. 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Diene B. ⚽,
  • 76', Munteanu L. ↓, Murrell J. ↑,
  • 77', Tiao C. ↓, Bull ↑,
  • 77', Caputo A. ↓, Krioutchenkov D. ↑,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Krioutchenkov D. ⚽, Brown J. (A),
  • 82', Antley C. ↓, Hefti S. ↑,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Markovic N. ⚽, Hefti S. (A),
  • Extra Time (1 - 1)
  • 95', Bull 🟨,
  • 97', 3 - 2, Peglow ⚽, Bono A. (A),
  • 113', 3 - 3, Krioutchenkov D. ⚽, Perkins W. (A),
  • 118', 🟨,
  • 118', Perkins W. 🟨,
  • Penalties (5 - 6)
  • 1, Peglow (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Krioutchenkov D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Kurokawa K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Rodrigues B. P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Hefti S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Goling M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Murrell J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Conway E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Peltola M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Bull (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Gabriel Pirani (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Linhares K. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


DC United
64.1%		Draw
21.1%		One Knoxville
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.6% 20.6% 14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65% 20.7% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • The chances for One Knoxville have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
    •

    DC United - One Knoxville Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.44 ↑
    (1.43)    		 4.38 ↓
    (4.48)    		 6.21 ↓
    (6.24)    		 8.5%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Recent form of DC United has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • One Knoxville is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, One Knoxville has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, DC United is a strong favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of DC United
    11.04.2026 New England Revolution - DC United 1:0 ✺
    04.04.2026 DC United - FC Dallas 0:4 ✺
    21.03.2026 Atlanta United - DC United 0:0 ✺
    14.03.2026 Chicago Fire - DC United 1:2 ✺
    07.03.2026 DC United - Inter Miami 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of One Knoxville
    11.04.2026 Portland Hearts of Pine - One Knoxville 0:0
    04.04.2026 Sarasota Paradise - One Knoxville 1:2
    31.03.2026 Asheville City - One Knoxville 1:2 ✺
    24.03.2026 One Knoxville - Corpus Christi 0:0
    18.03.2026 Vistula Garfield - One Knoxville 1:3
    Draw
    2026

    1/64-finals
    1ChattanoogaKalonji2 : 1
    2Tennessee TempoChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    4ByeAtlanta Utd
    5CharlotteBye
    7Charlotte Independ.Ristozi4 : 1
    8CharlestonFlorida Badgers2 : 1
    9Vermont GreenPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 0
    10Westchester SCNY Renegades2 : 0
    12ByeNew York City
    13New York Red BullsBye
    15Steel CityPittsburgh1 : 2
    16Carolina CoreVirginia Dream1 : 2
    17Flint CityForward Madison2 : 0
    18DetroitMichigan Rangers5 : 1
    20ByeChicago Fire
    21St. Louis CityBye
    23San AntonioNew Stars6 : 0
    24Little Rock RangersFC Tulsa2 : 4
    25LexingtonFlower City Union9 : 0
    26Louisville CitySouthern Indiana2 : 0
    28ByeAustin FC
    29Houston DynamoBye
    31New MexicoCruizers3 : 2
    32Laredo HeatEl Paso0 : 2
    33Colorado SpringsAzteca3 : 0
    34VenturaSpokane Velocity1 : 2
    36ByeSporting Kansas City
    37Colorado RapidsBye
    39Indy ElevenMenace3 : 0
    40BOHFS St. LouisUnion Omaha0 : 8
    41AV AltaValley 559 FC0 : 1
    42Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito2 : 0
    44ByeMinnesota United
    45San Jose EarthquakesBye
    47Orange County SCLaguna United3 : 0
    48Phoenix RisingSan Ramon4 : 0
    49FC NaplesRed Force3 : 0
    50TormentaAmerica CFL Spurs (WO.)
    52ByeOrlando City
    53New England RevolutionBye
    55Rhode IslandFaialense4 : 0
    56MotownHartford Athletic0 : 2
    57Richmond KickersNorthern Virginia2 : 0
    58West Chester UtdLoudoun1 : 2
    60ByeColumbus Crew
    61DC UnitedBye
    63Asheville CityGreenville3 : 1
    64VistulaOne Knoxville1 : 3

    1/32-finals
    1ChattanoogaTennessee Tempo1 : 0
    2ByeAtlanta Utd
    3CharlotteBye
    4Charlotte Independ.Charleston3 : 2
    5Vermont GreenWestchester SC0 : 1
    6ByeNew York City
    7New York Red BullsBye
    8PittsburghVirginia Dream2 : 0
    9Flint CityDetroit0 : 1
    10ByeChicago Fire
    11St. Louis CityBye
    12San AntonioFC Tulsa0 : 1
    13LexingtonLouisville City0 : 2
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Houston DynamoBye
    16New MexicoEl Paso0 : 4
    17Colorado SpringsSpokane Velocity2 : 1
    18ByeSporting Kansas City
    19Colorado RapidsBye
    20Indy ElevenUnion Omaha1 : 2
    21Valley 559 FCSacramento Republic0 : 4
    22ByeMinnesota United
    23San Jose EarthquakesBye
    24Orange County SCPhoenix Rising1 : 2
    25FC NaplesAmerica CFL Spurs3 : 0
    26ByeOrlando City
    27New England RevolutionBye
    28Rhode IslandHartford Athletic2 : 0
    29Richmond KickersLoudoun1 : 0
    30ByeColumbus Crew
    31DC UnitedBye
    32Asheville CityOne Knoxville1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1ChattanoogaAtlanta Utd1 : 3
    2CharlotteCharlotte Independ.6 : 0
    3Westchester SCNew York City2 : 5
    4New York Red BullsPittsburgh3 : 1
    5DetroitChicago Fire1 : 2
    6St. Louis CityFC Tulsa4 : 0
    7Louisville CityAustin FC2 : 1
    8Houston DynamoEl Paso4 : 1
    9Colorado SpringsSporting Kansas City3 : 0
    10Colorado RapidsUnion Omaha1 : 0
    11Sacramento RepublicMinnesota United0 : 1
    12San Jose EarthquakesPhoenix Rising2 : 0
    13FC NaplesOrlando City0 : 1
    14New England RevolutionRhode Island2 : 1
    15Richmond KickersColumbus Crew0 : 3
    16DC UnitedOne Knoxville3 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1Atlanta UtdCharlotte
    2New York CityNew York Red Bulls
    3Chicago FireSt. Louis City
    4Louisville CityHouston Dynamo
    5Colorado SpringsColorado Rapids
    6Minnesota UnitedSan Jose Earthquakes
    7Orlando CityNew England Revolution
    8Columbus CrewOne Knoxville
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