Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
16/04/2026 at 11:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Stuttgart, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
91
Double Faults
25
1st serve percentage
69%58%
1st serve points won
91% (30/33)66% (25/38)
2nd serve points won
67% (10/15)48% (13/27)
Break Points Saved
0/02/4
1st return points won
34% (13/38)9% (3/33)
2nd return points won
52% (14/27)33% (5/15)
Break Points Converted
2/40/0
Service Points Won
83% (40/48)58% (38/65)
Return Points Won
42% (27/65)17% (8/48)
Total Points Won
59% (67/113)41% (46/113)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (10/10)78% (7/9)
Return games won
22% (2/9)0% (0/10)
Total games won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Elena Rybakina
76.2%
Diana Shnaider
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.3% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1% 29.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Diana Shnaider has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elena Rybakina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diana Shnaider than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diana Shnaider could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Elena Rybakina - Diana Shnaider Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.25
    (1.31)

    4.01
    (3.26)
    4.9%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Elena Rybakina - Diana Shnaider?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Rybakina will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Shnaider will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rybakina: 46.4%99%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rybakina (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -6.5 Games - Shnaider (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rybakina (votes: 1 - 50%). Shnaider (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rybakina is ranked WTA: 2. Shnaider is ranked WTA: 19.
    • Rybakina is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Shnaider has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Rybakina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Rybakina is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Elena Rybakina
    Latest results of Diana Shnaider
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Bye
    2Korpatsch T. (WC)Shnaider D.0 : 2
    3Eala A.Fernandez L.0 : 2
    4Sonmez Z. (Q)Paolini J. (5)2 : 0
    5Swiatek I. (3)Bye
    6Siegemund L.Tomova V. (LL)2 : 1
    7Parks A. (Q)Noha Akugue N. (WC)2 : 0
    8Ostapenko J.Andreeva M. (6)1 : 2
    9Alexandrova E. (8)Knutson G. (Q)2 : 0
    10Zhang S.Noskova L.1 : 2
    11Lys E.Badosa P. (WC)2 : 1
    12ByeSvitolina E. (4)
    13Muchova K. (7)Sasnovich A. (Q)2 : 0
    14Mertens E.Seidel E. (WC)2 : 0
    15Ruzic A.Samsonova L.0 : 2
    16ByeGauff C. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Shnaider D.2 : 0
    2Fernandez L.Sonmez Z.
    3Swiatek I. (3)Siegemund L.2 : 0
    4Parks A.Andreeva M. (6)0 : 2
    5Alexandrova E. (8)Noskova L.0 : 2
    6Lys E.Svitolina E. (4)0 : 2
    7Muchova K. (7)Mertens E.2 : 1
    8Samsonova L.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)TBD #2
    2Swiatek I. (3)Andreeva M. (6)
    3Noskova L.Svitolina E. (4)
    4Muchova K. (7)Gauff C. (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2