Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
16/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Munich, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
43
Double Faults
81
1st serve percentage
57%73%
1st serve points won
79% (30/38)66% (29/44)
2nd serve points won
59% (17/29)75% (12/16)
Break Points Saved
3/32/4
1st return points won
36% (16/44)29% (11/38)
2nd return points won
25% (4/16)41% (12/29)
Break Points Converted
2/40/3
Winners
2314
Unforced errors
2221
Net points won
83% (5/6)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
70% (47/67)67% (40/60)
Return Points Won
33% (20/60)30% (20/67)
Total Points Won
53% (67/127)47% (60/127)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (10/10)80% (8/10)
Return games won
20% (2/10)0% (0/10)
Total games won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Denis Shapovalov
45.1%
Fabian Marozsan
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 57.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Fabian Marozsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Denis Shapovalov - Fabian Marozsan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.2)

    1.75
    (1.67)
    4.4%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Denis Shapovalov - Fabian Marozsan?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Marozsan will win (votes: 9 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marozsan: 35.2%84.8%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fabian Marozsan will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 39. Marozsan is ranked ATP: 42.
    • Shapovalov has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Marozsan has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Shapovalov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Fabian Marozsan
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    2Diallo G.Sachko V. (Q)2 : 0
    3Van De Zandschulp B.Huesler M. (Q)2 : 0
    4Nagal S. (LL)Cerundolo F. (5)0 : 2
    5Cobolli F. (4)Dedura D. (Q)2 : 0
    6Bergs Z.Topo M. (LL)2 : 0
    7Engel J. (WC)Kopriva V.1 : 2
    8Zhang Z. (PR)Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    9Griekspoor T. (8)Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    10Marozsan F.Tsitsipas S.2 : 1
    11Cilic M.Altmaier D.0 : 2
    12Molcan A. (Q)Bublik A. (3)2 : 0
    13Rinderknech A. (7)Michelsen A.2 : 0
    14Tabilo A.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    15Blockx A. (WC)Hanfmann Y.2 : 0
    16Nava E. (LL)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Diallo G.2 : 0
    2Van De Zandschulp B.Cerundolo F. (5)0 : 2
    3Cobolli F. (4)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    4Kopriva V.Darderi L. (6)2 : 1
    5Shapovalov D.Marozsan F.2 : 0
    6Altmaier D.Molcan A.0 : 2
    7Rinderknech A. (7)Fonseca J.0 : 2
    8Blockx A.Shelton B. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Cerundolo F. (5)
    2Cobolli F. (4)Kopriva V.
    3Shapovalov D.Molcan A.
    4Fonseca J.Shelton B. (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2