São Luiz vs Santa Catarina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:4
18/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 3

Match Stats

Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
2021
Shots on target
1013
Corner kicks
36
Total shots
2021
Shots on target
1013
Shots off target
108
Corner kicks
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 2)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Valber Junior ,
  • 17', 1 - 1, Mendes ,
  • 28', 2 - 1, Valber Junior ,
  • 30', 2 - 2, Renan ,
  • 45', 3 - 2, Brandao ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 56', 4 - 2, Brandao ,
  • 59', 4 - 3, Alex Goncalves ,
  • 83', 4 - 4, Alex Goncalves ,

Chances of winning


São Luiz
36.9%
Draw
30.6%
Santa Catarina
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 31.7% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 30.6% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Luiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Luiz's form might have worsened.
  • Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Catarina's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Luiz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Catarina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • São Luiz - Santa Catarina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.12)
    3.01
    (2.88)
    2.84
    (3.6)
    8.5%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • São Luiz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of São Luiz
    11.04.2026 São Luiz - FC Cascavel 0:0
    04.04.2026 Joinville - São Luiz 2:0
    06.03.2026 Novo Hamburgo - São Luiz 1:1
    02.03.2026 São Luiz - Novo Hamburgo 1:0
    25.02.2026 São Luiz - Maranhão 0:1
    Latest results of Santa Catarina
    11.04.2026 Santa Catarina - Cianorte 1:0
    04.03.2026 Santa Catarina - Cuiabá 2:1
    21.02.2026 Avaí - Santa Catarina 3:0
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional-AM43018:629
    2Manauara42207:348
    3Sao Raimundo RR42204:138
    4Manaus41122:4-24
    5Monte Roraima40221:4-32
    6GAS40132:6-41


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guapore43106:2410
    2Araguaina42206:428
    3Porto Velho420210:466
    4Galvez42024:7-36
    5Independencia41125:414
    6Humaita40042:12-100


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama43106:1510
    2Luverdense42204:228
    3Aparecidense42026:516
    4Brasiliense41303:216
    5Primavera AC40223:6-32
    6Inhumas40042:8-60


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goiatuba43105:2310
    2Capital43014:229
    3Mixto41213:305
    4Uniao Rondonopolis41124:5-14
    5Ceilandia41122:3-14
    6Operario VG40133:6-31


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trem42207:438
    2Aguia De Maraba41306:426
    3Imperatriz41305:326
    4Tuna Luso41215:505
    5Oratorio41034:7-33
    6Tocantinopolis40223:7-42


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Iguatu43106:2410
    2Maracana42115:327
    3Moto Club31113:304
    4Parnahyba41122:4-24
    5Sampaio Correa30210:1-12
    6IAPE40224:7-32


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense-PI42207:348
    2Piaui42118:627
    3Ferroviario42116:427
    4AE Altos41122:6-44
    5Atletico-CE40311:3-23
    6Tirol40223:5-22


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ABC43017:439
    2America RN43015:239
    3Central SC42115:327
    4Maguary42025:326
    5Sousa41032:5-33
    6Laguna RN40131:8-71


    Group 9
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Treze PB421111:747
    2Sergipe42117:617
    3Serra Branca41307:436
    4Lagarto41128:10-24
    5Retro41126:9-34
    6Decisao41125:8-34


    Group 10
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juazeirense44009:3612
    2CSA42118:447
    3ASA42114:317
    4CSE41125:7-24
    5Jacuipense41123:6-34
    6Alagoinhas40042:8-60


    Group 11
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Uberlandia43016:339
    2Ivinhema43016:429
    3Betim42115:417
    4CRAC41123:304
    5Operario MS40312:4-23
    6Ouvidorense40131:5-41


    Group 12
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tombense42114:137
    2Rio Branco ES42117:527
    3Democrata GV42113:217
    4Vitoria ES42027:436
    5Porto-BA42024:8-46
    6Real Noroeste40131:6-51


    Group 13
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa RJ42207:168
    2Portuguesa42206:248
    3Agua Santa42027:436
    4Madureira41125:6-14
    5America RJ41124:11-74
    6Pouso Alegre41032:7-53


    Group 14
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Piracicaba42208:448
    2Velo Clube42115:327
    3Marica42115:417
    4Sampaio Correa FE42114:407
    5Noroeste40223:5-22
    6Nova Iguacu40132:7-51


    Group 15
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Joinville43106:2410
    2Cascavel42113:127
    3Cianorte42025:416
    4Sao Luiz41215:6-15
    5Santa Catarina41126:7-14
    6Guarany de Bage40131:6-51


    Group 16
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Blumenau44008:2612
    2Brasil de Pelotas42116:427
    3Sao Joseense42112:207
    4Marcilio Dias41212:205
    5Azuriz40131:4-31
    6EC Sao Jose40131:6-51

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)