Result
1:2
26/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 11
- Referee: Cabero J. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 2.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (183/270) | 83% (414/500) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 2.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 2.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (183/270) | 83% (414/500) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (18/49) | 50% (29/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (40/63) | 77% (121/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 38% (8/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.55 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', Retamal D. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Romero M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 36', Urzi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', Sosa J. 🟨,
- 59', Diaz A. 🟨,
- 61', Ogaz B. 🟨,
- 69', Urzi A. ↓, Kmet L. ↑,
- 69', Ogaz B. ↓, Ubal B. ↑,
- 73', Romero M. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
- 73', Marchant F. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Gonzalez O. ⚽,
- 81', Villagra J. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 87', Pastran L. ↓, Aquino C. ↑,
- 87', Alarcon T. ↓, Cuevas Y. ↑,
- 88', Diaz A. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Correa J. ⚽, Aquino C. (A),
- 90+3', Fuentealba J. ↓, Uribe A. ↑,
- 90+3', Correa J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Universidad de Concepción
26.3% | Draw
27.1% | Colo-Colo
46.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad de Concepción that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colo-Colo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Universidad de Concepción - Colo-Colo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.6 ↓
(4.38) |
3.47 ↑
(3.4) |
2.02 ↑
(1.83) |
6.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Universidad de Concepción - Colo-Colo?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Uni de Concepción will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Colo-Colo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- No spectators. Neutral location - Estadio Fiscal de Talca.
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 1.
- Recent performances by Uni de Concepción have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Colo-Colo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Colo-Colo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Colo-Colo is considered a favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Concepción won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Concepción won against Colo-Colo?
Universidad de Concepción has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Colo-Colo won against Universidad de Concepción?
Colo-Colo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad de Concepción - Colo-Colo were as follows:
Latest results of Universidad de Concepción
Latest results of Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Limache | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 21 |
| 2 | Colo Colo | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 11:6 | 5 | 21 |
| 3 | Huachipato | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 4 | O'Higgins | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | U. De Chile | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Nublense | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Coquimbo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Everton | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | La Serena | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Palestino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 | U. De Concepcion | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 | Union La Calera | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | D. Concepcion | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
