Ergi Kirkin vs Kai Wehnelt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
20/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shymkent - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
114
Double Faults
21
1st serve percentage
43%58%
1st serve points won
81% (29/36)64% (29/45)
2nd serve points won
50% (24/48)52% (17/33)
Break Points Saved
4/55/7
1st return points won
36% (16/45)19% (7/36)
2nd return points won
48% (16/33)50% (24/48)
Break Points Converted
2/71/5
Winners
2634
Unforced errors
2638
Net points won
83% (5/6)52% (12/23)
Service Points Won
63% (53/84)59% (46/78)
Return Points Won
41% (32/78)37% (31/84)
Total Points Won
52% (85/162)48% (77/162)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
91% (10/11)82% (9/11)
Return games won
18% (2/11)9% (1/11)
Total games won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Ergi Kirkin
80.9%
Kai Wehnelt
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.5% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ergi Kirkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ergi Kirkin's performance.
  • Kai Wehnelt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kai Wehnelt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ergi Kirkin that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kai Wehnelt than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kai Wehnelt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ergi Kirkin - Kai Wehnelt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.16
    (1.32)

    4.9
    (3.15)
    7%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Kirkin is ranked ATP: 563. Wehnelt is ranked ATP: 753.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Wehnelt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Kirkin is seen as the favorite.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Ergi Kirkin
    Latest results of Kai Wehnelt
    07.04.2026 Kai Wehnelt - Maxime Chazal Wehnelt K. Retired
    04.03.2026 Kai Wehnelt - Mika Brunold 0:2