Aleksandar Vukic vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
20/04/2026 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
77
Double Faults
00
1st serve percentage
56%78%
1st serve points won
67% (22/33)86% (36/42)
2nd serve points won
50% (13/26)33% (4/12)
Break Points Saved
1/43/3
1st return points won
14% (6/42)36% (12/33)
2nd return points won
67% (8/12)50% (13/26)
Break Points Converted
0/33/4
Winners
1817
Unforced errors
2516
Net points won
50% (5/10)60% (3/5)
Service Points Won
58% (34/59)74% (40/54)
Return Points Won
26% (14/54)42% (25/59)
Total Points Won
42% (48/113)58% (65/113)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
00
Service games won
67% (6/9)100% (9/9)
Return games won
0% (0/9)33% (3/9)
Total games won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Aleksandar Vukic
20.9%
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
79.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 70.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8% 69.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandar Vukic's form might have worsened.
  • Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pablo Llamas Ruiz's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandar Vukic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pablo Llamas Ruiz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aleksandar Vukic - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.53
    (3.22)

    1.2
    (1.32)
    5.7%
    (6.8%)
    What is the prediction for Aleksandar Vukic - Pablo Llamas Ruiz?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vukic will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vukic (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Vukic is ranked ATP: 89. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 151.
    • Vukic is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Llamas Ruiz is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Llamas Ruiz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Llamas Ruiz is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Llamas Ruiz will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Aleksandar Vukic
    Latest results of Pablo Llamas Ruiz
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Gojo B.2 : 0
    2Harris B.Merida Aguilar D. (13)0 : 2
    3Garin C. (2)Blanchet U. (Alt)2 : 0
    4Pellegrino A.Damm M. (24)0 : 2
    5Svajda Z. (3)Sakamoto R. (WC)0 : 2
    6Gea A.Gaubas V. (22)0 : 2
    7Prizmic D. (4)O'Connell C.
    8Piros Z.Barrios Vera T. (21)
    9Vukic A. (5)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    10Moller E.Gaston H. (18)2 : 0
    11Halys Q. (6)Faria J.
    12Harris L.McDonald M. (23)2 : 0
    13Kypson P. (7)Kouame M. (WC)
    14Travaglia S.Basilashvili N. (20)
    15Vallejo D. (8)Martinez P.
    16Rocha H.Choinski J. (19)
    17Kovacevic A. (9)Echargui M.
    18Budkov Kjaer N.Maestrelli F. (16)
    19van Assche L. (10)Dedura D. (WC)
    20Blanch Dar. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)
    21Wu Y. (11)Dhamne M. (WC)2 : 0
    22Virtanen O.Droguet T. (17)1 : 2
    23Hijikata R. (12)Rodesch C.
    24Lajovic D.Arnaldi M. (14)

    Final
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Merida Aguilar D. (13)
    2Garin C. (2)Damm M. (24)
    3Sakamoto R.Gaubas V. (22)
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5Llamas Ruiz P.Moller E.
    6TBD #11Harris L.
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11Wu Y. (11)Droguet T. (17)
    12TBD #23TBD #24