Lloyd Harris vs Mackenzie McDonald – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
20/04/2026 at 07:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
92
Double Faults
11
1st serve percentage
51%63%
1st serve points won
84% (21/25)60% (24/40)
2nd serve points won
71% (17/24)50% (12/24)
Break Points Saved
0/04/7
1st return points won
43% (17/40)16% (4/25)
2nd return points won
50% (12/24)29% (7/24)
Break Points Converted
3/70/0
Winners
2610
Unforced errors
2323
Net points won
33% (1/3)80% (4/5)
Service Points Won
78% (36/46)56% (36/64)
Return Points Won
44% (28/64)22% (10/46)
Total Points Won
58% (64/110)42% (46/110)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (9/9)67% (6/9)
Return games won
33% (3/9)0% (0/9)
Total games won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Lloyd Harris
60.6%
Mackenzie McDonald
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8% 49.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lloyd Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lloyd Harris than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lloyd Harris that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mackenzie McDonald could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lloyd Harris - Mackenzie McDonald Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.64)

    2.4
    (2.14)
    5.9%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Lloyd Harris - Mackenzie McDonald?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Harris will win (votes: 3 - 75%). McDonald will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Harris (votes: 1 - 50%). McDonald (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • No spectators.
    • Harris is ranked ATP: 153. McDonald is ranked ATP: 123.
    • Harris has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • McDonald's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Harris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Lloyd Harris
    23.03.2026 Ivan Gakhov - Lloyd Harris Gakhov I. retired
    04.03.2026 Lloyd Harris - Thomas Faurel Canceled
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Gojo B.2 : 0
    2Harris B.Merida Aguilar D. (13)0 : 2
    3Garin C. (2)Blanchet U. (Alt)2 : 0
    4Pellegrino A.Damm M. (24)0 : 2
    5Svajda Z. (3)Sakamoto R. (WC)0 : 2
    6Gea A.Gaubas V. (22)0 : 2
    7Prizmic D. (4)O'Connell C.
    8Piros Z.Barrios Vera T. (21)
    9Vukic A. (5)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    10Moller E.Gaston H. (18)2 : 0
    11Halys Q. (6)Faria J.
    12Harris L.McDonald M. (23)2 : 0
    13Kypson P. (7)Kouame M. (WC)
    14Travaglia S.Basilashvili N. (20)
    15Vallejo D. (8)Martinez P.
    16Rocha H.Choinski J. (19)
    17Kovacevic A. (9)Echargui M.
    18Budkov Kjaer N.Maestrelli F. (16)
    19van Assche L. (10)Dedura D. (WC)
    20Blanch Dar. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)
    21Wu Y. (11)Dhamne M. (WC)2 : 0
    22Virtanen O.Droguet T. (17)1 : 2
    23Hijikata R. (12)Rodesch C.
    24Lajovic D.Arnaldi M. (14)

    Final
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Merida Aguilar D. (13)
    2Garin C. (2)Damm M. (24)
    3Sakamoto R.Gaubas V. (22)
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5Llamas Ruiz P.Moller E.
    6TBD #11Harris L.
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11Wu Y. (11)Droguet T. (17)
    12TBD #23TBD #24