Nikola Bartunkova vs Katarzyna Kawa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
20/04/2026 at 04:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
32
1st serve percentage
75%87%
1st serve points won
56% (32/57)49% (33/68)
2nd serve points won
42% (8/19)60% (6/10)
Break Points Saved
4/105/12
1st return points won
51% (35/68)54% (31/57)
2nd return points won
40% (4/10)58% (11/19)
Break Points Converted
7/126/10
Service Points Won
52% (38/73)50% (39/78)
Return Points Won
50% (39/78)48% (35/73)
Total Points Won
51% (77/151)49% (74/151)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
54% (7/13)50% (7/14)
Return games won
50% (7/14)46% (6/13)
Total games won
52% (14/27)48% (13/27)

Chances of winning


Nikola Bartunkova
67.8%
Katarzyna Kawa
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.7% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nikola Bartunkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Katarzyna Kawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikola Bartunkova than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nikola Bartunkova that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katarzyna Kawa than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Katarzyna Kawa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nikola Bartunkova - Katarzyna Kawa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.4)

    2.93
    (2.8)
    6%
    (7.1%)
    What is the prediction for Nikola Bartunkova - Katarzyna Kawa?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bartunkova will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bartunkova is ranked WTA: 96. Kawa is ranked WTA: 161.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Bartunkova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bartunkova is seen as the favorite.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Katarzyna Kawa
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Starodubtseva Y. (1)Stefanini L.
    2Tomova V.Pavlyuchenkova A. (20)
    3Potapova A. (2)Kostovic T.
    4Trevisan M.Kraus S. (22)
    5Vekic D. (3)Jeanjean L.1 : 2
    6Masarova R.Sramkova R. (23)2 : 0
    7Udvardy P. (4)Pareja J. (WC)
    8Grant T. C. (WC)Erjavec V. (15)
    9Volynets K. (5)Dodin O.
    10Sorribes Tormo S.Korpatsch T. (14)
    11Blinkova A. (6)Brancaccio N.2 : 1
    12Kalieva E.Lamens S. (21)2 : 0
    13Waltert S. (7)Papamichail D.2 : 0
    14Roura Llaverias R. (WC)Salkova D. (24)0 : 2
    15Galfi D. (8)Romero Gormaz L.
    16Radivojevic L.Vidmanova D. (19)
    17Parks A. (9)Avanesyan E. (WC)
    18Efremova K. (WC)Sun L. (17)
    19Bartunkova N. (10)Kawa K.2 : 1
    20Charaeva A.Sasnovich A. (18)2 : 0
    21Vandewinkel H. (11)Fruhvirtova L.
    22Leme Da Silva N. V. (WC)Snigur D. (13)
    23Parry D. (12)Stephens S.
    24Bassols M.Kalinina A. (16)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Jeanjean L.Masarova R.
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6Blinkova A. (6)Kalieva E.
    7Waltert S. (7)Salkova D. (24)
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Bartunkova N. (10)Charaeva A.
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24