Ariana Arseneault vs Mai Hontama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
21/04/2026 at 23:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
28

Chances of winning


Ariana Arseneault
30%
Mai Hontama
70%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.7% 68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6% 73.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ariana Arseneault has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Mai Hontama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana Arseneault than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Ariana Arseneault - Mai Hontama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (2.91)

    1.33
    (1.35)
    7.6%
    (8.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Arseneault is ranked WTA: 455. Hontama is ranked WTA: 215.
    • Arseneault is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Hontama has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Arseneault may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hontama is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Ariana Arseneault
    Latest results of Mai Hontama
    16.03.2026 Sae Noguchi - Mai Hontama Hontama M. retired
    09.03.2026 Anastasia Gasanova - Mai Hontama Gasanova A. retired