Daniel Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/04/2026 at 08:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
11
1st serve percentage
70%67%
1st serve points won
76% (37/49)68% (25/37)
2nd serve points won
48% (10/21)50% (9/18)
Break Points Saved
5/62/5
1st return points won
32% (12/37)27% (13/49)
2nd return points won
50% (9/18)52% (11/21)
Break Points Converted
3/51/6
Winners
1622
Unforced errors
1812
Net points won
60% (6/10)57% (8/14)
Service Points Won
67% (47/70)62% (34/55)
Return Points Won
38% (21/55)33% (23/70)
Total Points Won
54% (68/125)46% (57/125)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
90% (9/10)70% (7/10)
Return games won
30% (3/10)10% (1/10)
Total games won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Daniel Vallejo
48.9%
Grigor Dimitrov
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 58.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniel Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Vallejo's performance.
  • Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grigor Dimitrov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Vallejo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grigor Dimitrov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Daniel Vallejo - Grigor Dimitrov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.25)

    1.89
    (1.63)
    4.1%
    (5.8%)
    What is the prediction for Daniel Vallejo - Grigor Dimitrov?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Vallejo will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%). Dimitrov will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dimitrov: 61.6%91.8%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Grigor Dimitrov will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Vallejo is ranked ATP: 96. Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 137.
    • In recent matches, Vallejo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Dimitrov is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Dimitrov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Daniel Vallejo
    Latest results of Grigor Dimitrov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Bonzi B. (Q)Droguet T. (Q)2 : 1
    3Moller E. (Q)Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (32)
    5Norrie C. (19)Bye
    6Machac T.Comesana F.2 : 1
    7Bautista-Agut R.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8ByePaul T. (15)
    9Rublev A. (9)Bye
    10Zhang Z. (PR)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    11Sonego L.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeRinderknech A. (22)
    13Fonseca J. (27)Bye
    14Bergs Z.Cilic M.1 : 2
    15Jodar R. (WC)De Jong J.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Shelton B. (4)Bye
    18Prizmic D. (Q)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    19Basilashvili N. (Q)Ofner S.0 : 2
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (25)
    21Fils A. (21)Bye
    22Buse I.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Brooksby J.Nava E.0 : 2
    24ByeVacherot V. (14)
    25Lehecka J. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Royer V.2 : 0
    27Muller A.Struff J-L.0 : 2
    28ByeMichelsen A. (33)
    29Griekspoor T. (29)Bye
    30Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    31Faria J. (Q)Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    32ByeMusetti L. (6)
    33Bublik A. (8)Bye
    34Kypson P. (LL)Tsitsipas S.
    35Trungelliti M. (LL)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)
    36ByeMoutet C. (26)
    37Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    38Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    39Munar J.Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    40ByeRuud C. (12)
    41Cerundolo F. (16)Bye
    42Hanfmann Y.Giron M.2 : 1
    43Altmaier D.Cerundolo J. M.
    44ByeDarderi L. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Garin C. (LL)Blockx A.1 : 2
    47Gaubas V. (Q)Baez S.
    48ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (3)
    49Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)Opelka R.
    52ByeShapovalov D. (31)
    53Tien L. (17)Bye
    54Vallejo D. (Q)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    55Ugo Carabelli C.Monfils G. (WC)
    56ByeCobolli F. (10)
    57Khachanov K. (13)Bye
    58Landaluce M. (WC)Walton A.
    59Popyrin A.Damm M. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeMensik J. (23)
    61Humbert U. (30)Bye
    62Atmane T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    63Borges N.Navone M.0 : 2
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bonzi B. (Q)
    2Moller E. (Q)Diallo G. (32)
    3Norrie C. (19)Machac T.
    4Tirante T. A.Paul T. (15)
    5Rublev A. (9)Kopriva V.
    6Lajovic D.Rinderknech A. (22)
    7Fonseca J. (27)Cilic M.
    8Jodar R.De Minaur A. (5)
    9Shelton B. (4)Prizmic D.
    10Ofner S.Etcheverry T. M. (25)
    11Fils A. (21)Buse I.
    12Nava E.Vacherot V. (14)
    13Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.
    14Struff J-L.Michelsen A. (33)
    15Griekspoor T. (29)Dzumhur D.
    16Hurkacz H.Musetti L. (6)
    17Bublik A. (8)TBD #34
    18TBD #35Moutet C. (26)
    19Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Carreno-Busta P.
    20Munar J.Ruud C. (12)
    21Cerundolo F. (16)Hanfmann Y.
    22TBD #43Darderi L. (18)
    23Nakashima B. (28)Blockx A.
    24TBD #47Auger-Aliassime F. (3)
    25Medvedev D. (7)Marozsan F.
    26TBD #51Shapovalov D. (31)
    27Tien L. (17)Vallejo D.
    28TBD #55Cobolli F. (10)
    29Khachanov K. (13)TBD #58
    30Damm M.Mensik J. (23)
    31Humbert U. (30)Atmane T.
    32Navone M.Zverev A. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2