Result
3:3
01/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Women - Round 12
- Referee: Lovison R. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 2.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (185/281) | 69% (259/373) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 2.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 2.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (185/281) | 69% (259/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (17/54) | 32% (22/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (17/43) | 56% (84/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 24% (6/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 37 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.74 | 2.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Real K. ⚽,
- 21', 1 - 1, Giugliano M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 35', Greggi G. 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 1, Cox D. ⚽, Gunnlaugsdottir A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Brennskag-Dorsin F. ↓, Corelli A. ↑,
- 54', 3 - 1, Benedetti V. ⚽, Distefano G. (A),
- 58', Valdezate O. ↓, Heatley W. ↑,
- 59', Greggi G. ↓, Babajide R. ↑,
- 66', Cissoko H. 🟨,
- 79', Cissoko H. 🟨,
- 80', 3 - 2, Giugliano M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 81', Rieke A. ↓, Pandini M. ↑,
- 82', Gueguen M. ↓, Masu C. ↑,
- 82', Distefano G. ↓, Rabot I. ↑,
- 87', Thogersen F. ↓, Piekarska M. ↑,
- 90+6', Kerr A. ↓, Lonati G. ↑,
- 90+7', Benedetti V. ↓, Dominguez L. ↑,
- 90+9', 3 - 3, Babajide R. ⚽, Dragoni G. (A),
Chances of winning
Parma
11.9% | Draw
22.5% | Roma
65.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Parma - Roma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.74 ↑
(6.71) |
4.09 ↑
(4.06) |
1.4 ↓
(1.43) |
8.9%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )).
- Parma is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Roma is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Parma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Roma is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Parma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.7:4).
- Including home match between the teams, Parma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Parma won against Roma?
Parma has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Parma?
Roma has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Parma - Roma were as follows:
04.10.2025
Roma
-
Parma
4:0
22.01.2023
Parma
-
Roma
2:3
02.10.2022
Roma
-
Parma
5:0
Italian Serie A Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AS Roma W | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 32:16 | 16 | 40 |
| 2 | Inter W | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 38:17 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Juventus W | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 4 | Lazio W | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Napoli W | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Fiorentina W | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 24:23 | 1 | 26 |
| 7 | Como W | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 25 |
| 8 | AC Milan W | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25:23 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Ternana W | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16:32 | -16 | 13 |
| 10 | Sassuolo W | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 |
| 11 | Parma W | 17 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 12 |
| 12 | Genoa W | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14:32 | -18 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Women
