Emilio Nava vs Valentin Vacherot – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
24/04/2026 at 05:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
216
Double Faults
95
1st serve percentage
65%60%
1st serve points won
75% (71/95)68% (45/66)
2nd serve points won
37% (19/51)57% (25/44)
Break Points Saved
17/195/8
1st return points won
32% (21/66)25% (24/95)
2nd return points won
43% (19/44)63% (32/51)
Break Points Converted
3/82/19
Winners
6023
Unforced errors
5634
Net points won
65% (11/17)67% (12/18)
Service Points Won
61% (89/145)63% (69/109)
Return Points Won
37% (40/109)39% (56/145)
Total Points Won
51% (129/254)49% (125/254)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
30
Service games won
88% (15/17)81% (13/16)
Return games won
19% (3/16)12% (2/17)
Total games won
55% (18/33)45% (15/33)

Chances of winning


Emilio Nava
27%
Valentin Vacherot
73%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.6% 68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31% 69%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Emilio Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Emilio Nava - Valentin Vacherot Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.5
    (3.04)

    1.31
    (1.4)
    4.9%
    (4.4%)
    What is the prediction for Emilio Nava - Valentin Vacherot?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Nava will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Vacherot will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vacherot: 59.8%94.8%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nava (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nava is ranked ATP: 116. Vacherot is ranked ATP: 17.
    • Recent performances by Nava have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Vacherot is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Nava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Vacherot is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Vacherot will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Emilio Nava
    Latest results of Valentin Vacherot
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Bonzi B. (Q)Droguet T. (Q)2 : 1
    3Moller E. (Q)Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (32)
    5Norrie C. (19)Bye
    6Machac T.Comesana F.2 : 1
    7Bautista-Agut R.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8ByePaul T. (15)
    9Rublev A. (9)Bye
    10Zhang Z. (PR)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    11Sonego L.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeRinderknech A. (22)
    13Fonseca J. (27)Bye
    14Bergs Z.Cilic M.1 : 2
    15Jodar R. (WC)De Jong J.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Shelton B. (4)Bye
    18Prizmic D. (Q)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    19Basilashvili N. (Q)Ofner S.0 : 2
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (25)
    21Fils A. (21)Bye
    22Buse I.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Brooksby J.Nava E.0 : 2
    24ByeVacherot V. (14)
    25Lehecka J. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Royer V.2 : 0
    27Muller A.Struff J-L.0 : 2
    28ByeMichelsen A. (33)
    29Griekspoor T. (29)Bye
    30Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    31Faria J. (Q)Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    32ByeMusetti L. (6)
    33Bublik A. (8)Bye
    34Kypson P. (LL)Tsitsipas S.1 : 2
    35Trungelliti M. (LL)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)1 : 2
    36ByeMoutet C. (26)
    37Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    38Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    39Munar J.Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    40ByeRuud C. (12)
    41Cerundolo F. (16)Bye
    42Hanfmann Y.Giron M.2 : 1
    43Altmaier D.Cerundolo J. M.0 : 2
    44ByeDarderi L. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Garin C. (LL)Blockx A.1 : 2
    47Gaubas V. (Q)Baez S.2 : 0
    48ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (3)
    49Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)Opelka R. (RET.)0 : 0
    52ByeShapovalov D. (31)
    53Tien L. (17)Bye
    54Vallejo D. (Q)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    55Ugo Carabelli C.Monfils G. (WC)2 : 0
    56ByeCobolli F. (10)
    57Khachanov K. (13)Bye
    58Landaluce M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    59Popyrin A.Damm M. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeMensik J. (23)
    61Humbert U. (30)Bye
    62Atmane T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    63Borges N.Navone M.0 : 2
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bonzi B. (Q)
    2Moller E. (Q)Diallo G. (RET.) (32)1 : 0
    3Norrie C. (19)Machac T.
    4Tirante T. A.Paul T. (15)
    5Rublev A. (9)Kopriva V.
    6Lajovic D.Rinderknech A. (22)0 : 2
    7Fonseca J. (27)Cilic M.
    8Jodar R.De Minaur A. (5)
    9Shelton B. (4)Prizmic D.
    10Ofner S.Etcheverry T. M. (25)
    11Fils A. (21)Buse I.
    12Nava E.Vacherot V. (14)2 : 1
    13Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.
    14Struff J-L.Michelsen A. (33)0 : 2
    15Griekspoor T. (29)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    16Hurkacz H.Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    17Bublik A. (8)Tsitsipas S.
    18Merida Aguilar D.Moutet C. (26)
    19Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Carreno-Busta P.
    20Munar J.Ruud C. (12)
    21Cerundolo F. (16)Hanfmann Y.
    22Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (18)
    23Nakashima B. (28)Blockx A.
    24Gaubas V.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)
    25Medvedev D. (7)Marozsan F.
    26Budkov Kjaer N.Shapovalov D. (31)
    27Tien L. (17)Vallejo D.
    28Ugo Carabelli C.Cobolli F. (10)
    29Khachanov K. (13)Walton A.
    30Damm M.Mensik J. (23)
    31Humbert U. (30)Atmane T.
    32Navone M.Zverev A. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1Moller E.
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5Rinderknech A. (22)
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11Nava E.
    7TBD #13Michelsen A. (33)
    8Griekspoor T. (29)Musetti L. (6)
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2