Andrey Chepelev vs Manuel Mazza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
23/04/2026 at 05:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 4, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
55

Chances of winning


Andrey Chepelev
44.1%
Manuel Mazza
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 63.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Manuel Mazza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrey Chepelev that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manuel Mazza than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manuel Mazza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Andrey Chepelev - Manuel Mazza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.07)

    1.66
    (1.65)
    7.5%
    (9.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Chepelev is ranked ATP: 421. Mazza is ranked ATP: 594.
    • Recent performances by Chepelev have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mazza is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Chepelev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • We predict that Mazza will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chepelev won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Andrey Chepelev
    Latest results of Manuel Mazza