Mai Hontama vs Hayu Kinoshita – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
24/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Tokyo, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
82

Chances of winning


Mai Hontama
39.6%
Hayu Kinoshita
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 63.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mai Hontama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mai Hontama's performance.
  • Hayu Kinoshita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hayu Kinoshita might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayu Kinoshita than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Mai Hontama - Hayu Kinoshita Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.68)

    1.54
    (1.4)
    7.5%
    (8.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Hontama is ranked WTA: 215. Kinoshita is ranked WTA: 297.
    • Hontama has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Kinoshita is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Kinoshita may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Kinoshita will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Kinoshita will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Mai Hontama
    23.04.2026 Yuki Naito - Mai Hontama 1:2
    16.03.2026 Sae Noguchi - Mai Hontama Hontama M. retired
    Latest results of Hayu Kinoshita