Result
0:2
03/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari, clay - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 52% | 57% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 50% (17/34) | 64% (21/33) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 48% (15/31) | 56% (14/25) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 7/12 | 3/6 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 36% (12/33) | 50% (17/34) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 44% (11/25) | 52% (16/31) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 3/6 | 5/12 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 35 | 25 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 73% (16/22) | 50% (3/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (32/65) | 60% (35/58) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (23/58) | 51% (33/65) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (55/123) | 55% (68/123) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 70% (7/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 50% (5/10) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 60% (12/20) |
Chances of winning
Hubert Hurkacz
70% | Matteo Arnaldi
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hubert Hurkacz that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Arnaldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hubert Hurkacz - Matteo Arnaldi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.39) |
|
3.12 ↑
(2.79) |
6.2%
(7.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Hubert Hurkacz - Matteo Arnaldi?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hubert Hurkacz will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 63. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 103.
- Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
- In this match, Hurkacz is seen as the favorite.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Hubert Hurkacz won against Matteo Arnaldi?
Hubert Hurkacz has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Hubert Hurkacz?
Matteo Arnaldi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hubert Hurkacz - Matteo Arnaldi were as follows:
Latest results of Hubert Hurkacz
Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
