Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Lorenzo Carboni – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
04/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
16
Double Faults
13
1st serve percentage
68%75%
1st serve points won
75% (33/44)67% (35/52)
2nd serve points won
62% (13/21)29% (5/17)
Break Points Saved
1/34/7
Average 1st serve speed
199 km/h189 km/h
Average 2nd serve speed
184 km/h144 km/h
1st return points won
33% (17/52)25% (11/44)
2nd return points won
71% (12/17)38% (8/21)
Break Points Converted
3/72/3
Winners
2420
Unforced errors
2022
Net points won
75% (9/12)31% (4/13)
Service Points Won
71% (45/63)58% (40/69)
Return Points Won
42% (29/69)29% (18/63)
Total Points Won
56% (74/132)44% (58/132)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
02
Service games won
82% (9/11)73% (8/11)
Return games won
27% (3/11)18% (2/11)
Total games won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Aleksandar Kovacevic
63.2%
Lorenzo Carboni
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.6% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandar Kovacevic's form might have worsened.
  • Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Carboni's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandar Kovacevic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Carboni, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aleksandar Kovacevic - Lorenzo Carboni Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.31)

    2.56
    (3.15)
    6%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Aleksandar Kovacevic - Lorenzo Carboni?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kovacevic will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Carboni will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 97. Carboni is ranked ATP: 458.
    • Kovacevic is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Carboni has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kovacevic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Kovacevic will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Aleksandar Kovacevic
    Latest results of Lorenzo Carboni
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Garin C. (1)Echargui M.2 : 0
    2Lajovic D.Choinski J. (20)0 : 2
    3Prizmic D. (2)Rodesch C.2 : 0
    4Bondioli F. (WC)Nava E. (18)2 : 1
    5Kypson P. (3)Pinnington Jones J.2 : 1
    6Martin Manzano J. C. (WC)Droguet T. (16)1 : 2
    7Carreno-Busta P. (4)Damm M.2 : 0
    8Travaglia S.Wawrinka S. (13)1 : 2
    9Vallejo D. (5)Faria J.1 : 2
    10Llamas Ruiz P. (Alt)Rocha H. (19)2 : 1
    11Kovacevic A. (6)Carboni L. (WC)2 : 0
    12Mochizuki S.Fearnley J. (15)0 : 2
    13van Assche L. (7)Dellien H.0 : 2
    14Martinez P.De Jong J. (14)0 : 2
    15Landaluce M. (8)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    16Pellegrino A.Gaston H. (17)2 : 0
    17Hijikata R. (9)Basile P. (WC)2 : 1
    18Moller E.Basilashvili N. (21)1 : 2
    19Merida Aguilar D. (10)McDonald M.2 : 0
    20Vasami J. (WC)Barrios Vera T. (23)0 : 2
    21Bonzi B. (11)Svrcina D.0 : 2
    22Budkov Kjaer N.Virtanen O. (22)2 : 1
    23Comesana F. (12)Harris B.2 : 0
    24Riedi L. (PR)Gaubas V. (24)2 : 0

    Final
    1Garin C. (1)Choinski J. (20)
    2Prizmic D. (2)Bondioli F.
    3Kypson P. (3)Droguet T. (16)
    4Carreno-Busta P. (4)Wawrinka S. (13)
    5Faria J.Llamas Ruiz P.
    6Kovacevic A. (6)Fearnley J. (15)
    7Dellien H.De Jong J. (14)
    8Landaluce M. (8)Pellegrino A.
    9Hijikata R. (9)Basilashvili N. (21)
    10Merida Aguilar D. (10)Barrios Vera T. (23)
    11Svrcina D.Budkov Kjaer N.
    12Comesana F. (12)Riedi L.