Elmer Moller vs Nikoloz Basilashvili – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
04/05/2026 at 11:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
35
Double Faults
91
1st serve percentage
48%57%
1st serve points won
69% (31/45)69% (41/59)
2nd serve points won
45% (22/49)49% (22/45)
Break Points Saved
2/77/11
Average 1st serve speed
189 km/h198 km/h
Average 2nd serve speed
163 km/h185 km/h
1st return points won
31% (18/59)31% (14/45)
2nd return points won
51% (23/45)55% (27/49)
Break Points Converted
4/115/7
Winners
2334
Unforced errors
3546
Net points won
50% (2/4)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
56% (53/94)61% (63/104)
Return Points Won
39% (41/104)44% (41/94)
Total Points Won
47% (94/198)53% (104/198)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
67% (10/15)73% (11/15)
Return games won
27% (4/15)33% (5/15)
Total games won
47% (14/30)53% (16/30)

Chances of winning


Elmer Moller
56.8%
Nikoloz Basilashvili
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.9% 45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 47.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Elmer Moller - Nikoloz Basilashvili Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.69)

    2.17
    (2.06)
    6.7%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Elmer Moller - Nikoloz Basilashvili?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Moller will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Basilashvili will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nikoloz Basilashvili will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Moller is ranked ATP: 169. Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 120.
    • Moller is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Basilashvili's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Basilashvili may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Elmer Moller
    24.04.2026 Elmer Moller - Gabriel Diallo Diallo G. Retired
    20.04.2026 Elmer Moller - Hugo Gaston 2:0
    Latest results of Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Garin C. (1)Echargui M.2 : 0
    2Lajovic D.Choinski J. (20)0 : 2
    3Prizmic D. (2)Rodesch C.2 : 0
    4Bondioli F. (WC)Nava E. (18)2 : 1
    5Kypson P. (3)Pinnington Jones J.2 : 1
    6Martin Manzano J. C. (WC)Droguet T. (16)1 : 2
    7Carreno-Busta P. (4)Damm M.2 : 0
    8Travaglia S.Wawrinka S. (13)1 : 2
    9Vallejo D. (5)Faria J.1 : 2
    10Llamas Ruiz P. (Alt)Rocha H. (19)2 : 1
    11Kovacevic A. (6)Carboni L. (WC)2 : 0
    12Mochizuki S.Fearnley J. (15)0 : 2
    13van Assche L. (7)Dellien H.0 : 2
    14Martinez P.De Jong J. (14)0 : 2
    15Landaluce M. (8)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    16Pellegrino A.Gaston H. (17)2 : 0
    17Hijikata R. (9)Basile P. (WC)2 : 1
    18Moller E.Basilashvili N. (21)1 : 2
    19Merida Aguilar D. (10)McDonald M.2 : 0
    20Vasami J. (WC)Barrios Vera T. (23)0 : 2
    21Bonzi B. (11)Svrcina D.0 : 2
    22Budkov Kjaer N.Virtanen O. (22)2 : 1
    23Comesana F. (12)Harris B.2 : 0
    24Riedi L. (PR)Gaubas V. (24)2 : 0

    Final
    1Garin C. (1)Choinski J. (20)
    2Prizmic D. (2)Bondioli F.
    3Kypson P. (3)Droguet T. (16)
    4Carreno-Busta P. (4)Wawrinka S. (13)
    5Faria J.Llamas Ruiz P.
    6Kovacevic A. (6)Fearnley J. (15)
    7Dellien H.De Jong J. (14)
    8Landaluce M. (8)Pellegrino A.
    9Hijikata R. (9)Basilashvili N. (21)
    10Merida Aguilar D. (10)Barrios Vera T. (23)
    11Svrcina D.Budkov Kjaer N.
    12Comesana F. (12)Riedi L.