Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Jacob Fearnley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
05/05/2026 at 07:25 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
25
Double Faults
42
1st serve percentage
58%79%
1st serve points won
67% (35/52)67% (40/60)
2nd serve points won
41% (15/37)50% (8/16)
Break Points Saved
5/94/7
1st return points won
33% (20/60)33% (17/52)
2nd return points won
50% (8/16)59% (22/37)
Break Points Converted
3/74/9
Winners
1334
Unforced errors
2831
Net points won
57% (4/7)64% (9/14)
Service Points Won
56% (50/89)63% (48/76)
Return Points Won
37% (28/76)44% (39/89)
Total Points Won
47% (78/165)53% (87/165)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
67% (8/12)77% (10/13)
Return games won
23% (3/13)33% (4/12)
Total games won
44% (11/25)56% (14/25)

Chances of winning


Aleksandar Kovacevic
41.1%
Jacob Fearnley
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 59.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aleksandar Kovacevic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Aleksandar Kovacevic - Jacob Fearnley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.42)

    1.6
    (1.52)
    6.1%
    (7.1%)
    What is the prediction for Aleksandar Kovacevic - Jacob Fearnley?
  • Users Predictions: Jacob Fearnley will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 95. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 123.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Kovacevic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Fearnley could have a small edge in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Aleksandar Kovacevic
    Latest results of Jacob Fearnley
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Garin C. (1)Echargui M.2 : 0
    2Lajovic D.Choinski J. (20)0 : 2
    3Prizmic D. (2)Rodesch C.2 : 0
    4Bondioli F. (WC)Nava E. (18)2 : 1
    5Kypson P. (3)Pinnington Jones J.2 : 1
    6Martin Manzano J. C. (WC)Droguet T. (16)1 : 2
    7Carreno-Busta P. (4)Damm M.2 : 0
    8Travaglia S.Wawrinka S. (13)1 : 2
    9Vallejo D. (5)Faria J.1 : 2
    10Llamas Ruiz P. (Alt)Rocha H. (19)2 : 1
    11Kovacevic A. (6)Carboni L. (WC)2 : 0
    12Mochizuki S.Fearnley J. (15)0 : 2
    13van Assche L. (7)Dellien H.0 : 2
    14Martinez P.De Jong J. (14)0 : 2
    15Landaluce M. (8)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    16Pellegrino A.Gaston H. (17)2 : 0
    17Hijikata R. (9)Basile P. (WC)2 : 1
    18Moller E.Basilashvili N. (21)1 : 2
    19Merida Aguilar D. (10)McDonald M.2 : 0
    20Vasami J. (WC)Barrios Vera T. (23)0 : 2
    21Bonzi B. (11)Svrcina D.0 : 2
    22Budkov Kjaer N.Virtanen O. (22)2 : 1
    23Comesana F. (12)Harris B.2 : 0
    24Riedi L. (PR)Gaubas V. (24)2 : 0

    Final
    1Garin C. (1)Choinski J. (20)2 : 1
    2Prizmic D. (2)Bondioli F.2 : 0
    3Kypson P. (3)Droguet T. (16)2 : 1
    4Carreno-Busta P. (WO.) (4)Wawrinka S. (13)
    5Faria J.Llamas Ruiz P.1 : 2
    6Kovacevic A. (6)Fearnley J. (15)1 : 2
    7Dellien H.De Jong J. (14)1 : 2
    8Landaluce M. (8)Pellegrino A.1 : 2
    9Hijikata R. (9)Basilashvili N. (21)0 : 2
    10Merida Aguilar D. (10)Barrios Vera T. (23)2 : 1
    11Svrcina D.Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 0
    12Comesana F. (12)Riedi L.2 : 1