Oleksandriya vs Metalist 1925 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ukrainian Premier League Oleksandriya - Metalist 1925
Result
1:4
16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 3
  • Referee: Blavatsky R. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ukraineUkraineUPL TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
39
Shots on target
25
Corner Kicks
55
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
39
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
14
Corner Kicks
55
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
156
Fouls
614
Goalkeeper Saves
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 4)
  • 48', 0 - 1, Kaliuzhnyi I. , Pavlyuk Y. (A),
  • 60', Itodo P. , Mba C. ,
  • 61', Shostak D. 🟨,
  • 65', Shostak D. , Fernando Henrique ,
  • 66', Kozak A. , Buletsa S. ,
  • 66', Touati H. , Jhonnatan ,
  • 70', Cara T. , Jota ,
  • 76', 0 - 2, Rashica E. , Kaliuzhnyi I. (A),
  • 77', Kulakov A. , Amaral M. ,
  • 78', Rashica E. , Ari Moura ,
  • 79', Kalitvintsev V. , Panchenko M. ,
  • 88', Lytvynenko I. , Churko V. ,
  • 88', 1 - 2, Jota , Fernando Henrique (A),
  • 90', 1 - 3, Gadzhyev R. , Panchenko M. (A),
  • 90+3', 1 - 4, Gadzhyev R. ,

Chances of winning


Oleksandriya
36.1%
Draw
28.8%
Metalist 1925
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 28.1% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 27.5% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oleksandriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Metalist 1925 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalist 1925 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Oleksandriya - Metalist 1925 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.48)
    3.21
    (3.18)
    2.62
    (2.48)
    8.4%
    (12.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Oleksandriya - Metalist 1925?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Oleksandriya will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Metalist 1925 will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Oleksandriya (votes: 1 - 50%). Metalist 1925 (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oleksandriya won 3.
    • Oleksandriya is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Metalist 1925 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Oleksandriya has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Metalist 1925 will win today's game, with odds of 2.78.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Oleksandriya won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 2.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oleksandriya won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oleksandriya - Metalist 1925 were as follows:
    11.12.2023 Metalist 1925 - Oleksandriya 0:3
    05.08.2023 Oleksandriya - Metalist 1925 1:0
    15.04.2023 Metalist 1925 - Oleksandriya 0:0
    27.02.2023 Oleksandriya - Metalist 1925 3:3
    Latest results of Oleksandriya
    10.08.2025 Obolon - Oleksandriya 1:0
    03.08.2025 Kudrivka - Oleksandriya 3:1
    31.07.2025 Partizan - Oleksandriya 4:0
    24.07.2025 Oleksandriya - Partizan 0:2
    Latest results of Metalist 1925
    Ukrainian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dyn. Kyiv330010:289
    2Shakhtar Donetsk32106:337
    3LNZ Cherkasy32103:037
    4Kolos Kovalivka32104:227
    5Obolon32103:127
    6Kudrivka32017:436
    7Kryvbas32016:426
    8Metalist 192531114:314
    9FK Zorya Luhansk31114:404
    10Polissya Zhytomyr31022:3-13
    11SC Poltava31023:5-23
    12Rukh Lviv31024:8-43
    13Karpaty Lviv30214:6-22
    14Veres-Rivne30030:4-40
    15Epitsentr30031:6-50
    16Oleksandriya30032:8-60

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