Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
26/01/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligat ha'Al - Round 20
  • Referee: Fuxman D. (Isr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.420.96
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
35
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
43
Passes
84% (380/454)80% (296/372)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
1.420.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.531.41
Total shots
99
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
32
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
75
Shots outside the box
24
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1814
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free kicks
1413
Passes
84% (380/454)80% (296/372)
Long passes
54% (36/67)39% (17/44)
Passes in final third
65% (51/78)52% (32/61)
Crosses
20% (3/15)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.320.63
Throw ins
1928
Fouls
1314
Tackles
71% (17/24)65% (11/17)
Duels won
7157
Clearances
2216
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
1.411.53
Goals prevented
-0.590.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Kraev A. 🟨,
  • 20', Camara M. , Ben Hamo I. ,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Peretz D. , Varela H. (A),
  • 45+6', Coco M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Mahamid A. , Dappa D. ,
  • 59', Jehezkel S. 🟨,
  • 64', Morgan Z. , Leidner D. ,
  • 64', Lemkin A. , Silva X. ,
  • 71', Jehezkel S. , Andrade K. ,
  • 71', Noy I. , Shahar I. ,
  • 75', Korine R. , Alkoukin R. ,
  • 78', Sissokho I. 🟨,
  • 85', Falcao , Altman O. ,
  • 90', Abu Farhi S. , Malede Y. ,
  • 90', Varela H. , Ben Harush N. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Altman O. , Silva X. (A),
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Chico ,

Chances of winning


Maccabi Tel Aviv
48.1%
Draw
25.5%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 23.1% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 22.6% 22.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maccabi Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maccabi Tel Aviv's form might have worsened.
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maccabi Tel Aviv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Tel Aviv Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.7)
    3.68
    (3.98)
    3.53
    (4.04)
    7.3%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Tel Aviv?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Maccabi Tel Aviv will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Hapoel Tel Aviv will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Maccabi Tel Aviv: 50.6%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Maccabi Tel Aviv (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Hapoel Tel Aviv (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Hapoel Tel Aviv (2.02) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Maccabi Tel Aviv (votes: 2 - 20%). Hapoel Tel Aviv (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Maccabi Tel Aviv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Maccabi Tel Aviv has had a series of away games.
    • Maccabi Tel Aviv will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Maccabi Tel Aviv: Asante T. (Injury) Belic K. (Inactive) Camara M. (Inactive) Davida O. (Calf Injury) Gropper D. (Inactive) Madmon E. (Inactive) Nicolaescu I. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Hapoel Tel Aviv: Benyamini D. (Inactive) Leidner D. (Inactive) Mayembo F. (Inactive) Silva X. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Hapoel Tel Aviv: Buskila M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 14 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 48:10. (average 2.4:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:6. (average 2.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Tel Aviv were as follows:
    14.01.2026 Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Tel Aviv 1:2
    19.10.2025 Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Tel Aviv Delayed
    17.01.2024 Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Tel Aviv 4:2
    26.09.2023 Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Tel Aviv 0:5
    28.01.2023 Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Tel Aviv 0:0
    Latest results of Maccabi Tel Aviv
    Latest results of Hapoel Tel Aviv
    Israeli Ligat haAl Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1H. Beer Sheva26185358:253359
    2Beitar Jerusalem26176361:293257
    3Maccabi Tel Aviv26147555:322349
    4Hapoel Tel Aviv26156546:262049
    5Maccabi Haifa26119650:282242
    6Hapoel Petah Tikva26910741:36537
    7Netanya261051145:55-1035
    8Sakhnin26881027:35-832
    9Kiryat Shmona26761337:46-927
    10Hapoel Haifa26671331:44-1325
    11SC Ashdod26591232:50-1824
    12Hapoel Jerusalem26491322:37-1521
    13Ironi Tiberias26761332:52-2019
    14Maccabi Bnei Raina26332017:59-4212

          Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: )
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