Ilves vs HPK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
17/01/2026 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Auroraliiga Women

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 1)
  • 10:39, 1 - 0, Suoranta E. (G), Lehtiniemi J. (A), Melotindos L. (A2)
  • 14:39, 1 - 1, Stoltenberg J. (G), Tillman I. (A),
  • 15:15, 2 - 1, Nilsson M. (G), Juutilainen J. (A),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 2)
  • 15:16, 2 - 2, Skog A. (G), Ahlskog J. (A),
  • 18:35, 2 - 3, Tallinen T. (G), Skog A. (A), Lamberg E. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 15:57, 2 - 4, Seikkula K. (G), Jurickova B. (A), Keisala A. (A2)

Chances of winning


Ilves
31.8%
Draw
21.4%
HPK
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 21.8% 45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4% 23.1% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Ilves - HPK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.75)
    4.18
    (4.1)
    1.91
    (1.95)
    12.2%
    (12%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ilves is Qualified for Auroraliiga Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • HPK is Qualified for Auroraliiga Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • HPK might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 34:53. (average 1.7:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 2:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - HPK were as follows:
    11.01.2026 HPK - Ilves 4:0
    25.10.2025 HPK - Ilves 4:1
    31.01.2025 HPK - Ilves 5:3
    08.12.2024 Ilves - HPK 0:2
    13.10.2024 HPK - Ilves 5:2
    Latest results of Ilves
    11.01.2026 HPK - Ilves 4:0
    10.01.2026 Ilves - HIFK 1:2
    20.12.2025 Ilves - TPS 1:2
    19.12.2025 Ilves - Kuortane 4:0
    07.12.2025 Kuortane - Ilves 4:5
    Latest results of HPK
    11.01.2026 HPK - Ilves 4:0
    08.01.2026 Kiekko-Espoo - HPK 1:3
    19.12.2025 HPK - Kiekko-Espoo 2:4
    17.12.2025 HIFK - HPK 3:0
    07.12.2025 KalPa - HPK 1:2
    Finnish Liiga Hockey Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Kiekko-Espoo W ✔ 3127112165:4984
    2Hameenlinna W ✔ 3021315135:4270
    3IFK Helsinki W ✔ 3122036135:6569
    4Kuortane W ✔ 3016221085:6854
    5Ilves W ✔ 30162111149:7953
    6TPS W ✔ 3010311697:8737
    7Karpat W ✔ 306212184:12523
    8KalPa W ✔ 324262050:11422
    9RoKi W320103135:3062

          Promotion ~ Auroraliiga Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Auroraliiga Women (Relegation)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Kiekko-Espoo W is Qualified for Auroraliiga Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Hameenlinna W is Qualified for Auroraliiga Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    IFK Helsinki W is Qualified for Auroraliiga Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Kuortane W is Qualified for Auroraliiga Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Ilves W is Qualified for Auroraliiga Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    TPS W is Qualified for Auroraliiga Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Karpat W is Qualified for Auroraliiga Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    KalPa W is Qualified for Auroraliiga Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)