Alcione vs Lumezzane – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group A Alcione - Lumezzane
Result
1:0
06/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
103
Shots on target
70
Corner Kicks
32
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
103
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
32
Goalkeeper Saves
06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Pirola F. ,
  • 29', De Marino D. 🟨,
  • 37', Paghera F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', Iori M. , Ghillani A. ,
  • 64', Moscati M. , Cantamessa S. ,
  • 67', Zamparo L. , Marconi M. ,
  • 67', Bright K. , Lopes E. ,
  • 68', Deratti J. , Diodato S. ,
  • 76', Rolando M. , Ferro M. ,
  • 76', Caccavo L. , Donnarumma A. ,
  • 81', Pogliano C. 🟨,
  • 84', Morselli F. , Olivieri D. ,
  • 89', Invernizzi A. , Miculi A. ,

Chances of winning


Alcione
53.6%
Draw
29.8%
Lumezzane
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 30.1% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 25.1% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcione's performance.
  • Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lumezzane might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (-15.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcione that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lumezzane could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alcione - Lumezzane Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (2.02)
    3.38
    (3.08)
    6.09
    (3.87)
    -0.9%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Alcione has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lumezzane has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Lumezzane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Alcione has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Lumezzane has had a series of home games.
    • Alcione could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alcione won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alcione won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alcione - Lumezzane were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Lumezzane - Alcione 1:1
    26.10.2024 Alcione - Lumezzane 1:0
    05.02.2023 Alcione - Lumezzane 1:0
    02.10.2022 Lumezzane - Alcione 3:1
    Latest results of Alcione
    29.08.2025 Cittadella - Alcione 1:0
    23.08.2025 Alcione - Triestina 1:0
    17.08.2025 Pro Patria - Alcione 1:2
    29.07.2025 Monza - Alcione 2:0
    25.07.2025 Reggiana - Alcione 2:0
    Latest results of Lumezzane
    31.08.2025 Lumezzane - Pergolettese 2:3
    24.08.2025 Vicenza Virtus - Lumezzane 5:0
    16.08.2025 Lumezzane - Inter U23 1:2
    09.08.2025 Lumezzane - Mantova 1:1
    03.08.2025 Lumezzane - Pro Palazzolo 1:3
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecco43107:2510
    2Brescia430111:389
    3Pergolettese43018:539
    4L.R. Vicenza32107:167
    5Renate42116:607
    6Alcione Milano42113:217
    7Arzignano42116:517
    8Pro Vercelli42025:10-56
    9Trento41215:505
    10Giana Erminio41213:4-15
    11Virtus Verona31115:414
    12Cittadella31113:4-14
    13Novara40403:304
    14Dolomiti Bellunesi40314:7-33
    15AlbinoLeffe40227:9-22
    16Pro Patria40225:7-22
    17Inter U2330213:4-12
    18Ospitaletto40223:5-22
    19Lumezzane40043:11-80
    20Triestina41214:40-2

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