Polonia Środa Wielkopolska vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group II - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Kona M. ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, ,
  • 35', 2 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
35.5%
Draw
27.4%
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 24.1% 43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 24% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Zawisza Bydgoszcz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zawisza Bydgoszcz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zawisza Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zawisza Bydgoszcz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Zawisza Bydgoszcz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.85)
    3.62
    (3.78)
    2.68
    (2.08)
    0.9%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Środa Wielkopolska won 3.
    • In recent matches, Środa Wielkopolska has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Zawisza is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recently, Zawisza has had a series of home games.
    • Zawisza might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Środa Wielkopolska won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1.3:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Środa Wielkopolska won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1.3:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Zawisza Bydgoszcz were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska 1:2
    07.09.2024 Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Zawisza Bydgoszcz 3:2
    18.05.2024 Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska 4:0
    28.10.2023 Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Zawisza Bydgoszcz 0:2
    14.05.2023 Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2:0
    Polish Division 3 - Group II Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zawisza21144347:163146
    2Luzino22143549:272245
    3Sroda21143444:281645
    4Elana Torun22134535:251043
    5Lech Poznan II22113846:311536
    6Swinoujscie20104628:20834
    7Cartusia Kartuzy21111932:29334
    8Kluczevia Stargard2295834:26832
    9Blekitni Stargard2295837:32532
    10Lipno Steszew2294929:35-631
    11Wda Swiecie2294924:37-1331
    12Notec Czarnkow2185830:29129
    13Nowe Skalmierzyce22571019:33-1422
    14Unia Swarzedz22561121:30-921
    15Pogon Szczecin II22631340:51-1121
    16Wrzesnia21511520:32-1216
    17Tluchowo21441317:39-2216
    18Rewal22341510:42-3213

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation