Result
1:4
16/01/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League - Round 40
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | MySports, MySports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 33 | 20 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 3.03% (1/33) | 20% (4/20) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 16 | 32 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 96.97% (32/33) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (0/0) | 0% (0/1) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 38.89 | 61.11 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 13:03, 0 - 1, Fazzini L. (G), Canonica L. (A), Sanford Z. (A2)
- 15:41, 0 - 2, Carrick C. (G), Peltonen J. (A),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 04:26, 0 - 3, Simion D. (G), Thurkauf C. (A), Alatalo S. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 05:26, 0 - 4, Sekac J. (G), Perlini B. (A), Muller M. (A2)
- 13:51, Tanner R. (2 min),
- 15:31, 1 - 4, Ejdsell V. (G), Lehmann M. (A), Loeffel R. (A2)
Chances of winning
Bern
41.5% | Draw
23% | Lugano
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bern than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bern that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bern - Lugano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.44) |
4 ↑
(3.98) |
2.59 ↑
(2.44) |
8.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for Bern - Lugano?
Users Predictions:
Lugano will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lugano will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bern won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Bern may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lugano has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bern won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 49:60. (average 2.5:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bern won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 2.5:2.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Bern won against Lugano?
Bern has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Bern?
Lugano has won 10 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bern - Lugano were as follows:
07.12.2025
Lugano
-
Bern
3:1
24.10.2025
Bern
-
Lugano
1:4
23.09.2025
Lugano
-
Bern
0:3
14.02.2025
Lugano
-
Bern
1:3
02.01.2025
Bern
-
Lugano
1:4
Draw
Promotion - Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Rapperswil-Jona (7) | Zug (8) | 2 : 5 |
| 4 | Bern (9) | Biel (10) | 3 : 4 |
Final
