São Paulo vs Botafogo RJ – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A
Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 23
  • Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
israelIsraelSport 3
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
spainSpainMovistar+ Lite, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.59
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
84% (371/443)82% (402/490)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.59
xG on target (xGOT)
1.100.09
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1815
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
84% (371/443)82% (402/490)
Long passes
40% (18/45)58% (33/57)
Passes in final third
72% (92/127)62% (76/122)
Crosses
13% (1/8)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.52
Throw-ins
1629
Fouls
1114
Tackles
54% (13/24)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5252
Clearances
3118
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.091.10
Goals prevented
0.090.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Dinenno J. ⚽, Diaz E. (A),
  • 45+2', Neto ↓, Leo Linck ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Diaz E. ↓, Wendell ↑,
  • 46', Jeffinho ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
  • 46', Allan ↓, Correa J. ↑,
  • 48', Franco A. 🟨,
  • 58', Alisson ↓, Marcos Antonio ↑,
  • 58', Dinenno J. ↓, Rigoni E. ↑,
  • 62', Marcal ↓, Cuiabano ↑,
  • 69', Newton ↓, Marlon Freitas ↑,
  • 72', Franco A. ↓, Robert Arboleda ↑,
  • 77', Rodriguinho ↓, Luan Silva ↑,
  • 87', David Ricardo 🟨,
  • 87', Marcos Antonio 🟨,
  • 90+2', Tapia G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


São Paulo
46.5%		Draw
31%		Botafogo RJ
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 30.7% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 30.3% 26.2%

São Paulo - Botafogo RJ Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.14 ↓
(2.22)		 3.3 ↑
(3.09)		 4.59 ↑
(3.58)		 -1.2%
(5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Botafogo RJ?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Botafogo will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 17% – 68.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • São Paulo might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in São Paulo: Andre Silva (Knee Injury) Bobadilla D. (Yellow Cards) Jonathan Calleri (Knee Injury) Lucas Moura (Knee Injury) Luciano (Yellow Cards) Luiz Gustavo (Contusion) Oscar (Back Injury) Ryan Francisco (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos (Knee Injury) Cuiabano (Ankle Injury) Nathan Fernandes (Arm Injury)
    • There are questionable in Botafogo: Artur (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
    16.04.2025 Botafogo RJ - São Paulo 2:2
    08.12.2024 Botafogo RJ - São Paulo 2:1
    25.09.2024 São Paulo - Botafogo RJ 1:2
    18.09.2024 Botafogo RJ - São Paulo 0:0
    24.07.2024 São Paulo - Botafogo RJ 2:2
    Latest results of São Paulo
    30.08.2025 Cruzeiro - São Paulo 1:0 ✺
    24.08.2025 São Paulo - Atlético Mineiro 2:0 ✺
    19.08.2025 São Paulo - Atlético Nacional 2:1 ✺
    16.08.2025 Sport Recife - São Paulo 2:2 ✺
    12.08.2025 Atlético Nacional - São Paulo 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    11.09.2025 Botafogo RJ - Vasco da Gama 1:2 ✺
    30.08.2025 Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino 4:1 ✺
    27.08.2025 Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ 1:1 ✺
    24.08.2025 Juventude - Botafogo RJ 1:3 ✺
    21.08.2025 LDU Quito - Botafogo RJ 2:0 ✺
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ ✔ 35228573:235074
    2Palmeiras ✔ 35217758:292970
    3Cruzeiro351911552:252768
    4Mirassol351712658:342463
    5Botafogo RJ351610950:321858
    6Bahia351681147:43456
    7Fluminense351671240:38255
    8Sao Paulo351391340:40048
    9Bragantino351361640:53-1345
    10Corinthians351291438:42-445
    11Atletico-MG3411111237:39-244
    12Gremio3511101439:46-743
    13Vasco351261750:52-242
    14Ceara351191532:35-342
    15Internacional3510111440:48-841
    16Vitoria359121432:48-1639
    17Santos359111536:50-1438
    18Fortaleza348101637:53-1634
    19Juventude35962033:64-3133
    20Sport Recife352112228:66-3817

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Flamengo RJ is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
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