Avellino vs Crotone – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group C Avellino - Crotone
Result
2:1
16/02/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
127
Shots on Goal
73
Shots off Goal
54
Corner Kicks
82
Goalkeeper Saves
25
Yellow Cards
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Di Pasquale D. 🟨,
  • 22', Panico G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 54', Guerini A. 🟨,
  • 60', Vinicius 🟨,
  • 62', Gomez G. , Murano J. ,
  • 62', Oviszach E. , Silva J. ,
  • 64', Lescano F. , D'Ausilio M. ,
  • 64', Palmiero L. , Palumbo M. ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Rigione M. ,
  • 74', Vitale M. , Ricci F. ,
  • 82', Panico G. , Russo R. ,
  • 82', Sounas D. , Pizzella L. ,
  • 88', Groppelli F. , Schiro T. ,
  • 88', Gallo A. , Stronati R. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Vinicius ,
  • 90', Stronati R. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Patierno C. ,
  • 90+4', Rocca M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Todisco G. , Cionek T. ,

Chances of winning


Avellino
47.7%
Draw
28.8%
Crotone
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 27.3% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 27% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avellino's performance.
  • Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crotone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avellino that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crotone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Avellino - Crotone Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (2.19)
    3.17
    (3.33)
    3.89
    (2.92)
    9.5%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Avellino - Crotone?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Crotone will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Avellino won 4.
    • At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
    • Crotone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Avellino will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Avellino won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:13 (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Avellino won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avellino - Crotone were as follows:
    07.10.2024 Crotone - Avellino 0:4
    27.07.2024 Avellino - Crotone 0:0
    27.04.2024 Avellino - Crotone 1:0
    22.12.2023 Crotone - Avellino 0:1
    06.02.2023 Avellino - Crotone 3:1
    Latest results of Avellino
    08.02.2025 Foggia - Avellino 1:0
    02.02.2025 Avellino - Turris 3:1
    26.01.2025 Latina - Avellino 0:3
    18.01.2025 Avellino - Cavese 2:1
    Latest results of Crotone
    08.02.2025 Crotone - Potenza 4:1
    01.02.2025 Sorrento - Crotone 2:1
    27.01.2025 Crotone - Picerno 0:0
    20.01.2025 ACR Messina - Crotone 0:2
    12.01.2025 Trapani - Crotone 0:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/32-finals
    1CrotoneBye
    2BeneventoJuventus U231 : 5
    4ByeFeralpiSalo
    8ByeL.R. Vicenza
    9RenateArzignano0 : 0
    10Giana ErminioVirtus Verona1 : 0
    12ByeMonopoli
    16ByeTernana
    17AlbinoLeffeBye
    18TrentoAtalanta U231 : 2
    20ByeTorres
    24ByeAudace Cerignola
    25ArezzoGubbio3 : 1
    26Vis PesaroPontedera1 : 1
    28ByeRimini
    29CataniaGiugliano3 : 2
    30PotenzaPicerno2 : 0
    31PescaraBye
    32PinetoPianese0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1CrotoneJuventus U230 : 0
    2ByeFeralpiSalo
    4ByeL.R. Vicenza
    5RenateGiana Erminio1 : 2
    6ByeMonopoli
    8ByeTernana
    9AlbinoLeffeAtalanta U231 : 3
    10ByeTorres
    12ByeAudace Cerignola
    13ArezzoVis Pesaro0 : 1
    14ByeRimini
    15CataniaPotenza1 : 0
    16PescaraPianese2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CrotoneFeralpiSalo1 : 2, 3 : 1
    2ByeL.R. Vicenza
    3Giana ErminioMonopoli3 : 1, 3 : 1
    4ByeTernana
    5Atalanta U23Torres1 : 2, 7 : 1
    6ByeAudace Cerignola
    7Vis PesaroRimini4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8CataniaPescara2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1CrotoneL.R. Vicenza0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Giana ErminioTernana0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Atalanta U23Audace Cerignola2 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Vis PesaroPescara0 : 2, 2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1L.R. VicenzaTernana1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Audace CerignolaPescara1 : 1, 1 : 4

    Final
    1TernanaPescara1 : 1, 0 : 1