Lucrezia Stefanini vs Diane Parry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/03/2026 at 16:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Miami - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
05
Double Faults
85
1st serve percentage
72%58%
1st serve points won
56% (51/91)66% (39/59)
2nd serve points won
33% (12/36)40% (17/43)
Break Points Saved
10/1710/15
1st return points won
46% (27/59)44% (40/91)
2nd return points won
60% (26/43)67% (24/36)
Break Points Converted
5/157/17
Service Points Won
50% (63/127)55% (56/102)
Return Points Won
45% (46/102)50% (64/127)
Total Points Won
48% (109/229)52% (120/229)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
53% (8/15)67% (10/15)
Return games won
33% (5/15)47% (7/15)
Total games won
43% (13/30)57% (17/30)

Chances of winning


Lucrezia Stefanini
31%
Diane Parry
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 55.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lucrezia Stefanini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucrezia Stefanini's form might have worsened.
  • Diane Parry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Diane Parry's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucrezia Stefanini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diane Parry than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Diane Parry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lucrezia Stefanini - Diane Parry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (2.3)

    1.36
    (1.52)
    6.8%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Lucrezia Stefanini - Diane Parry?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Stefanini will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Parry will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Parry: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Diane Parry will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Stefanini is ranked WTA: 138. Parry is ranked WTA: 111.
    • Recent form of Stefanini has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Parry has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Parry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Parry will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stefanini won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lucrezia Stefanini - Diane Parry were as follows:
    05.10.2022 Lucrezia Stefanini - Diane Parry 0:1
    Latest results of Lucrezia Stefanini
    Latest results of Diane Parry
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Li A.Birrell K. (Q)2 : 1
    3McNally C.Masarova R. (Q)2 : 0
    4ByeWang Xin. (29)
    5Zheng Q. (23)Bye
    6Brady J. (WC)Stephens S. (WC)0 : 2
    7Ruse G.Ruzic A.2 : 0
    8ByeKeys M. (15)
    9Svitolina E. (9)Bye
    10Jones E. (WC)Fruhvirtova L. (Q)2 : 1
    11Baptiste H.Maria T.2 : 0
    12ByeSamsonova L. (19)
    13Ostapenko J. (25)Bye
    14Yastremska D.Krueger A. (WC)2 : 1
    15Sun L. (Q)Townsend T. (WC)0 : 2
    16ByePaolini J. (7)
    17Rybakina E. (3)Bye
    18Tjen J.Putintseva Y.1 : 2
    19Sierra S.Rakhimova K. (LL)0 : 2
    20ByeKostyuk M. (27)
    21Jovic I. (18)Bye
    22Badosa P.Sasnovich A. (Q)2 : 0
    23Bejlek S.Gibson T. (Q)0 : 2
    24ByeOsaka N. (16)
    25Alexandrova E. (11)Bye
    26Tagger L. (WC)Seidel E. (LL)2 : 1
    27Golubic V. (Q)Stearns P.0 : 2
    28ByeCristian J. (34)
    29Fernandez L. (26)Bye
    30Arango E.Selekhmeteva O.1 : 2
    31Jones F.Williams V. (WC)2 : 0
    32ByePegula J. (5)
    33Anisimova A. (6)Bye
    34Waltert S.Tomljanovic A.0 : 2
    35Lys E.Starodubtseva Y. (Q)0 : 2
    36ByeBucsa C. (30)
    37Shnaider D. (20)Bye
    38Valentova T.Volynets K. (Q)2 : 0
    39Sonmez Z.Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    40ByeBencic B. (12)
    41Noskova L. (14)Bye
    42Zhang S.Cirstea S.0 : 2
    43Galfi D. (Alt)Kalieva E. (Q)1 : 2
    44ByeMertens E. (21)
    45Sakkari M. (33)Bye
    46Parks A.Kraus S. (Q)2 : 0
    47Semenistaja D. (LL)Cocciaretto E.0 : 2
    48ByeGauff C. (4)
    49Andreeva M. (8)Bye
    50Kessler M.Frech M.2 : 1
    51Vidmanova D. (WC)Jacquemot E.1 : 2
    52ByeBouzkova M. (32)
    53Kalinskaya A. (22)Bye
    54Zakharova A. (Q)Bondar A.2 : 1
    55Kenin S.Blinkova A.1 : 2
    56ByeMboko V. (10)
    57Muchova K. (13)Bye
    58Siniakova K.Osorio C.0 : 2
    59Boulter K.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    60ByeTauson C. (17)
    61Eala A. (31)Bye
    62Siegemund L.Marcinko P.2 : 0
    63Linette M.Gracheva V.2 : 1
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Li A.2 : 0
    2McNally C.Wang Xin. (29)2 : 1
    3Zheng Q. (23)Stephens S.2 : 0
    4Ruse G.Keys M. (15)0 : 2
    5Svitolina E. (9)Jones E.2 : 0
    6Baptiste H.Samsonova L. (19)2 : 0
    7Ostapenko J. (25)Yastremska D.2 : 0
    8Townsend T.Paolini J. (7)1 : 2
    9Rybakina E. (3)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    10Rakhimova K.Kostyuk M. (27)0 : 2
    11Jovic I. (18)Badosa P.2 : 0
    12Gibson T.Osaka N. (16)2 : 0
    13Alexandrova E. (11)Tagger L.2 : 0
    14Stearns P.Cristian J. (34)0 : 2
    15Fernandez L. (26)Selekhmeteva O.2 : 1
    16Jones F. (RET.)Pegula J. (5)0 : 1
    17Anisimova A. (6)Tomljanovic A.2 : 1
    18Starodubtseva Y.Bucsa C. (RET.) (30)1 : 0
    19Shnaider D. (20)Valentova T.2 : 0
    20Sonmez Z.Bencic B. (12)0 : 2
    21Noskova L. (14)Cirstea S.1 : 2
    22Kalieva E.Mertens E. (21)0 : 2
    23Sakkari M. (33)Parks A.0 : 2
    24Cocciaretto E.Gauff C. (4)1 : 2
    25Andreeva M. (8)Kessler M.2 : 1
    26Jacquemot E.Bouzkova M. (32)0 : 2
    27Kalinskaya A. (22)Zakharova A.1 : 2
    28Blinkova A.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2
    29Muchova K. (13)Osorio C.2 : 1
    30Boulter K.Tauson C. (RET.) (17)1 : 1
    31Eala A. (31)Siegemund L.2 : 1
    32Linette M.Swiatek I. (2)2 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)McNally C.2 : 0
    2Zheng Q. (23)Keys M. (15)2 : 1
    3Svitolina E. (9)Baptiste H.0 : 2
    4Ostapenko J. (25)Paolini J. (7)2 : 1
    5Rybakina E. (3)Kostyuk M. (27)2 : 0
    6Jovic I. (18)Gibson T.0 : 2
    7Alexandrova E. (11)Cristian J. (34)1 : 2
    8Fernandez L. (26)Pegula J. (5)0 : 2
    9Anisimova A. (6)Starodubtseva Y.2 : 0
    10Shnaider D. (20)Bencic B. (12)0 : 2
    11Cirstea S.Mertens E. (21)2 : 0
    12Parks A.Gauff C. (4)1 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (8)Bouzkova M. (32)2 : 0
    14Zakharova A.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2
    15Muchova K. (13)Boulter K.2 : 0
    16Eala A. (31)Linette M.2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Zheng Q. (23)2 : 0
    2Baptiste H.Ostapenko J. (25)2 : 0
    3Rybakina E. (3)Gibson T.2 : 0
    4Cristian J. (34)Pegula J. (5)0 : 2
    5Anisimova A. (6)Bencic B. (12)0 : 2
    6Cirstea S.Gauff C. (4)1 : 2
    7Andreeva M. (8)Mboko V. (10)1 : 2
    8Muchova K. (13)Eala A. (31)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Baptiste H.2 : 0
    2Rybakina E. (3)Pegula J. (5)2 : 1
    3Bencic B. (12)Gauff C. (4)1 : 2
    4Mboko V. (10)Muchova K. (13)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Rybakina E. (3)2 : 0
    2Gauff C. (4)Muchova K. (13)2 : 0

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Gauff C. (4)2 : 1