Ballymena United vs Portadown – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Premiership - Relegation Group - Round 37
  • Referee: Hassan D. (Nir)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
125
Shots on target
32
Corner kicks
64
Yellow cards
01
Total shots
125
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
93
Corner kicks
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Fyfe E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 0 - 2, Teelan J. ,
  • 57', McEleney S. , Mccallion D. ,
  • 57', Hood J. , O'Conchubhair D. ,
  • 66', Duffin T. , O’Reilly J. ,
  • 69', 1 - 2, Edogun S. ,
  • 71', Wells B. , Tetteh G. ,
  • 71', McCartan S. , Quinn B. ,
  • 82', Teelan J. , Scott J. ,
  • 86', Rocks D. , Jarvis A. ,
  • 86', Lafferty D. , Thompson J. ,
  • 88', Carson J. , Gibson J. ,
  • 90+3', Scott J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ballymena United
47.6%
Draw
25.4%
Portadown
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 25% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 24.7% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ballymena United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ballymena United's performance.
  • Portadown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portadown might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ballymena United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portadown could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ballymena United - Portadown Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (2.56)
    3.64
    (3.68)
    3.41
    (2.36)
    8.3%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Ballymena United - Portadown?
  • Users Predictions: Ballymena United will win (24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.04%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ballymena United will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ballymena United won 2.
    • Ballymena United is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Portadown has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Ballymena United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ballymena United won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ballymena United won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ballymena United - Portadown were as follows:
    24.01.2026 Ballymena United - Portadown Postponed
    13.12.2025 Portadown - Ballymena United 1:0
    19.08.2025 Portadown - Ballymena United 0:2
    26.04.2025 Portadown - Ballymena United 2:1
    22.02.2025 Ballymena United - Portadown 2:0
    Latest results of Ballymena United
    Latest results of Portadown
    11.04.2026 Crusaders - Portadown 4:0
    04.04.2026 Glenavon - Portadown 1:1
    21.03.2026 Portadown - Crusaders 0:0
    10.03.2026 Linfield - Portadown 3:1
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1AnnaghCrusaders2 : 2, 2 : 3