Quilmes vs Deportivo Maipú – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
05/04/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaLPF Play

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
54
Corner kicks
28
Yellow cards
13
Total shots
89
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
35
Corner kicks
28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Vera U. , Vallejos M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', 2 - 0, Lavezzi A. , Batista A. (A),
  • 62', Mansilla G. , Viguet M. ,
  • 63', Cabrera L. 🟨,
  • 71', Montero F. , Giacone J. ,
  • 74', Batista A. , Luna R. ,
  • 74', Dominguez A. , Barreto J. ,
  • 76', Gobetto J. 🟨,
  • 81', Lavezzi A. , Postigo J. ,
  • 81', Arnijas L. , Bonfigli M. ,
  • 81', Cabrera L. , Silva T. ,
  • 81', Martinez R. , Rasso I. ,
  • 85', Aguero Gimenez A. R. 🟨,
  • 88', Vera U. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Faggioli L. , Eggel M. (A),
  • 90+3', Vallejos M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Quilmes
49.7%
Draw
30.9%
Deportivo Maipú
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 32.9% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 32.6% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.06)
    2.97
    (2.84)
    4.81
    (4.28)
    7.9%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Deportivo Maipú (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Maipú (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
    • Quilmes has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Deportivo Maipú has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Deportivo Maipú may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Quilmes is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú were as follows:
    21.06.2025 Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú 2:2
    16.02.2025 Deportivo Maipú - Quilmes 2:0
    13.10.2024 Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú 3:0
    26.05.2024 Deportivo Maipú - Quilmes 1:1
    27.08.2023 Deportivo Maipú - Quilmes 1:0
    Latest results of Quilmes
    29.03.2026 San Telmo - Quilmes 0:3
    21.03.2026 Club Almagro - Quilmes 1:0
    14.03.2026 Quilmes - Patronato Parana 3:0
    01.03.2026 Gimnasia Jujuy - Quilmes 1:0
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron1163218:11721
    2Colon Santa Fe1154212:8419
    3Los Andes114529:4517
    4Almirante Brown115248:8017
    5Deportivo Madryn1144315:11416
    6Godoy Cruz1137110:8216
    7Ciudad Bolivar113719:7216
    8Ferro1143411:10115
    9Def. de Belgrano1136210:9115
    10Racing Cordoba1143411:12-115
    11San Miguel113539:11-214
    12CA Estudiantes114257:9-214
    13San Telmo1134412:14-213
    14CA Mitre1126310:11-112
    15All Boys112545:8-311
    16Central Norte112454:8-410
    17Acassuso113178:13-510
    18Chaco For Ever111469:16-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy1172219:12723
    2Tristan Suarez1155112:6620
    3Atletico Atlanta1161414:9519
    4San Martin T1146112:8418
    5Nueva Chicago1145211:8317
    6Atl. Rafaela1144311:8316
    7Midland1144310:8216
    8Temperley113719:7216
    9San Martin S.J113449:11-213
    10Patronato113446:10-413
    11Quilmes1033411:8312
    12Deportivo Maipu1133512:14-212
    13Gimnasia y Tiro1033410:12-212
    14Colegiales113358:12-412
    15Chacarita Juniors103259:12-311
    16Agropecuario103259:13-411
    17Club A. Guemes1124511:16-510
    18Almagro112366:14-89

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