Result
1:0
21/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 20
- Referee: Jovanovic S. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (236/322) | 72% (233/323) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (236/322) | 72% (233/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (26/68) | 39% (27/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (87/134) | 58% (62/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Bruncevic E. 🟨,
- 43', Petkovic M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sadi D. ↓, Cisse A. ↑,
- 46', Cisse A. 🟨,
- 49', Tremoulet S. 🟨,
- 57', Bruncevic E. ↓, Opara E. ↑,
- 57', Petkovic M. ↓, Hadzimujovic A. ↑,
- 65', Togbe S. ↓, Alic S. ↑,
- 72', Chinedu S. ↓, Markocevic D. ↑,
- 76', Gasic M. 🟨,
- 86', Duronjic B. ↓, Jovanovic D. ↑,
- 89', Mirosavic V. ↓, Backulja F. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 0, Owusu D. ⚽, Pejovic A. (A),
Chances of winning
Radnik Surdulica
43% | Draw
29.3% | Novi Pazar
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radnik Surdulica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Radnik Surdulica's performance.Novi Pazar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Novi Pazar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Radnik Surdulica that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Novi Pazar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Radnik Surdulica - Novi Pazar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.52) |
3.17 ↑
(3.12) |
3.33 ↑
(2.64) |
8%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Radnik Surdulica - Novi Pazar?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Radnik will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Novi Pazar will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Novi Pazar (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Novi Pazar (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radnik won 0.
- Radnik is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Novi Pazar is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Radnik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Radnik could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Radnik won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Radnik won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Radnik Surdulica won against Novi Pazar?
Radnik Surdulica has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Novi Pazar won against Radnik Surdulica?
Novi Pazar has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Radnik Surdulica - Novi Pazar were as follows:
16.08.2025
Novi Pazar
-
Radnik Surdulica
2:0
27.04.2024
Radnik Surdulica
-
Novi Pazar
1:4
15.12.2023
Novi Pazar
-
Radnik Surdulica
2:1
20.08.2023
Radnik Surdulica
-
Novi Pazar
0:0
06.04.2023
Novi Pazar
-
Radnik Surdulica
1:0
Latest results of Radnik Surdulica
Latest results of Novi Pazar
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 25 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 74:19 | 55 | 60 |
| 2 | Partizan ✔ | 25 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Vojvodina ✔ | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 42 |
| 5 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Cukaricki | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 7 | Radnik | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 30:29 | 1 | 33 |
| 8 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 33 |
| 9 | Radnicki Nis | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 31:31 | 0 | 32 |
| 10 | Radnicki 1923 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 32 |
| 11 | TSC | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | IMT Novi Beograd | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 27:43 | -16 | 29 |
| 13 | Mladost | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 19:37 | -18 | 27 |
| 14 | Javor | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24:35 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica ✔ | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 28:46 | -18 | 18 |
| 16 | Napredak ✔ | 25 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 22:51 | -29 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Vojvodina is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Sp. Subotica is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Napredak is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
